**Negotiations toward a final U.S.-Iran agreement remain stalled amid renewed tensions over the Strait of Hormuz and implementation of the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding.** That MOU outlined a 60-day window for talks on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and related issues, with explicit reference to a subsequent binding UN Security Council resolution endorsing any final deal. However, Iranian shipping attacks and U.S. countermeasures in July led to fresh escalation, effectively pausing or complicating the process. As of mid-August 2026, exchanges continue only through intermediaries, with Iran conditioning further steps on compensation, asset releases, and sanctions changes while the United States maintains economic pressure. These ongoing disputes, combined with the tight timeline to year-end and the absence of verified progress on core nuclear or verification provisions, underpin trader consensus favoring no UNSC endorsement by December 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
22% 機率
$161,312 交易量
$161,312 交易量
2026-12-31
是
22% 機率
$161,312 交易量
$161,312 交易量
2026-12-31
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
**Negotiations toward a final U.S.-Iran agreement remain stalled amid renewed tensions over the Strait of Hormuz and implementation of the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding.** That MOU outlined a 60-day window for talks on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and related issues, with explicit reference to a subsequent binding UN Security Council resolution endorsing any final deal. However, Iranian shipping attacks and U.S. countermeasures in July led to fresh escalation, effectively pausing or complicating the process. As of mid-August 2026, exchanges continue only through intermediaries, with Iran conditioning further steps on compensation, asset releases, and sanctions changes while the United States maintains economic pressure. These ongoing disputes, combined with the tight timeline to year-end and the absence of verified progress on core nuclear or verification provisions, underpin trader consensus favoring no UNSC endorsement by December 31.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
交易量
$161,312結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
**Negotiations toward a final U.S.-Iran agreement remain stalled amid renewed tensions over the Strait of Hormuz and implementation of the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding.** That MOU outlined a 60-day window for talks on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and related issues, with explicit reference to a subsequent binding UN Security Council resolution endorsing any final deal. However, Iranian shipping attacks and U.S. countermeasures in July led to fresh escalation, effectively pausing or complicating the process. As of mid-August 2026, exchanges continue only through intermediaries, with Iran conditioning further steps on compensation, asset releases, and sanctions changes while the United States maintains economic pressure. These ongoing disputes, combined with the tight timeline to year-end and the absence of verified progress on core nuclear or verification provisions, underpin trader consensus favoring no UNSC endorsement by December 31.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$161,412結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Negotiations toward a final U.S.-Iran agreement remain stalled amid renewed tensions over the Strait of Hormuz and implementation of the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding.** That MOU outlined a 60-day window for talks on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and related issues, with explicit reference to a subsequent binding UN Security Council resolution endorsing any final deal. However, Iranian shipping attacks and U.S. countermeasures in July led to fresh escalation, effectively pausing or complicating the process. As of mid-August 2026, exchanges continue only through intermediaries, with Iran conditioning further steps on compensation, asset releases, and sanctions changes while the United States maintains economic pressure. These ongoing disputes, combined with the tight timeline to year-end and the absence of verified progress on core nuclear or verification provisions, underpin trader consensus favoring no UNSC endorsement by December 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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