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政治·委內瑞拉

美國會在…前正式向委內瑞拉宣戰嗎？

icon for 美國會在…前正式向委內瑞拉宣戰嗎？
政治·委內瑞拉

美國會在…前正式向委內瑞拉宣戰嗎？

$1,242,804 交易量

2025-12-31
Polymarket

$1,242,804 交易量

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$477,378 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.The United States conducted targeted military strikes inside Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing former President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges during Operation Absolute Resolve, yet no formal declaration of war has followed. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated explicitly that the action did not constitute war, framing it instead as support for law enforcement and counter-narcotics efforts that built on earlier naval deployments and vessel interdictions dating to September 2025. Since the operation, Washington and Caracas have reopened diplomatic channels, the U.S. has lifted select oil sanctions, and bilateral energy agreements have advanced under acting leadership. These steps, alongside ongoing legal proceedings against Maduro in New York, have shaped trader views toward continued restraint rather than escalation to a declared conflict.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,242,804
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.The United States conducted targeted military strikes inside Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing former President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges during Operation Absolute Resolve, yet no formal declaration of war has followed. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated explicitly that the action did not constitute war, framing it instead as support for law enforcement and counter-narcotics efforts that built on earlier naval deployments and vessel interdictions dating to September 2025. Since the operation, Washington and Caracas have reopened diplomatic channels, the U.S. has lifted select oil sanctions, and bilateral energy agreements have advanced under acting leadership. These steps, alongside ongoing legal proceedings against Maduro in New York, have shaped trader views toward continued restraint rather than escalation to a declared conflict.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,242,804
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"美國會在…前正式向委內瑞拉宣戰嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年6月30日" at 1%, followed by "12月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "美國會在…前正式向委內瑞拉宣戰嗎？" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "美國會在…前正式向委內瑞拉宣戰嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "美國會在…前正式向委內瑞拉宣戰嗎？" is "2026年6月30日" at just 1%, with "12月31日" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "美國會在…前正式向委內瑞拉宣戰嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.