Recent easing of U.S. sanctions and expanded Treasury licenses have become the dominant catalyst lifting Venezuelan crude output toward 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day by April 2026, up from roughly 900,000 bpd in 2025. Renewed access to international partners has enabled field rehabilitations and export growth, with PDVSA reporting sequential gains in March and April. Market-implied odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus that sustained policy stability and fresh capital inflows could push annual averages into the 1.3–1.5 million bpd range by year-end, though infrastructure constraints and potential regulatory reversals remain swing factors. Key near-term catalysts include further licensing decisions and any shifts in global heavy-crude differentials that influence reinvestment economics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$110,970 交易量
2027-02-28
110萬
98%
120萬
77%
130萬
39%
140萬
22%
150萬
7%
170萬
4%
200萬
4%
$110,970 交易量
110萬
$14,523 交易量
98%
120萬
$9,230 交易量
77%
130萬
$6,900 交易量
39%
140萬
$16,848 交易量
22%
150萬
$7,998 交易量
7%
170萬
$3,757 交易量
4%
200萬
$12,636 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent easing of U.S. sanctions and expanded Treasury licenses have become the dominant catalyst lifting Venezuelan crude output toward 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day by April 2026, up from roughly 900,000 bpd in 2025. Renewed access to international partners has enabled field rehabilitations and export growth, with PDVSA reporting sequential gains in March and April. Market-implied odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus that sustained policy stability and fresh capital inflows could push annual averages into the 1.3–1.5 million bpd range by year-end, though infrastructure constraints and potential regulatory reversals remain swing factors. Key near-term catalysts include further licensing decisions and any shifts in global heavy-crude differentials that influence reinvestment economics.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
市場開放時間： Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
交易量
$110,970結束日期
2027-02-28市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent easing of U.S. sanctions and expanded Treasury licenses have become the dominant catalyst lifting Venezuelan crude output toward 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day by April 2026, up from roughly 900,000 bpd in 2025. Renewed access to international partners has enabled field rehabilitations and export growth, with PDVSA reporting sequential gains in March and April. Market-implied odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus that sustained policy stability and fresh capital inflows could push annual averages into the 1.3–1.5 million bpd range by year-end, though infrastructure constraints and potential regulatory reversals remain swing factors. Key near-term catalysts include further licensing decisions and any shifts in global heavy-crude differentials that influence reinvestment economics.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
交易量
$110,970結束日期
2027-02-28市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Recent easing of U.S. sanctions and expanded Treasury licenses have become the dominant catalyst lifting Venezuelan crude output toward 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day by April 2026, up from roughly 900,000 bpd in 2025. Renewed access to international partners has enabled field rehabilitations and export growth, with PDVSA reporting sequential gains in March and April. Market-implied odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus that sustained policy stability and fresh capital inflows could push annual averages into the 1.3–1.5 million bpd range by year-end, though infrastructure constraints and potential regulatory reversals remain swing factors. Key near-term catalysts include further licensing decisions and any shifts in global heavy-crude differentials that influence reinvestment economics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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