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icon for 美國會在2026年吞併任何領土嗎?

美國會在2026年吞併任何領土嗎?

icon for 美國會在2026年吞併任何領土嗎?

美國會在2026年吞併任何領土嗎?

4% 機率
Polymarket

$154,652 交易量

4% 機率
Polymarket

$154,652 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US foreign policy in 2026 shows no active executive actions, legislative proposals, or diplomatic initiatives aimed at territorial annexation, reinforcing trader consensus reflected in the 96.1% implied probability for "No." Historical patterns of US expansion through purchase or treaty rather than unilateral claims, combined with ongoing focus on alliances, trade agreements, and multilateral institutions, limit momentum for such moves. Congressional priorities center on appropriations, border security, and existing territorial governance rather than new acquisitions. Late developments such as a sudden shift in administration strategy, formal negotiations over disputed areas like Arctic claims or Pacific outposts, or major geopolitical realignments could still alter the outcome before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$154,652
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US foreign policy in 2026 shows no active executive actions, legislative proposals, or diplomatic initiatives aimed at territorial annexation, reinforcing trader consensus reflected in the 96.1% implied probability for "No." Historical patterns of US expansion through purchase or treaty rather than unilateral claims, combined with ongoing focus on alliances, trade agreements, and multilateral institutions, limit momentum for such moves. Congressional priorities center on appropriations, border security, and existing territorial governance rather than new acquisitions. Late developments such as a sudden shift in administration strategy, formal negotiations over disputed areas like Arctic claims or Pacific outposts, or major geopolitical realignments could still alter the outcome before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$154,652
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"美國會在2026年吞併任何領土嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "美國會在2026年吞併任何領土嗎?" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "美國會在2026年吞併任何領土嗎?" has generated $154.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "美國會在2026年吞併任何領土嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "美國會在2026年吞併任何領土嗎?" is "美國會在2026年吞併任何領土嗎?" at just 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "美國會在2026年吞併任何領土嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.