Persistent diplomatic resistance from Denmark and Greenlandic leaders, reinforced by NATO allies, has kept the implied probability of U.S. territorial annexation in 2026 at roughly 11.5 percent. President Trump’s renewed focus on Greenland for Arctic security has prompted a January 2026 congressional bill authorizing acquisition and recent talks on new military bases, yet no sovereignty transfer has advanced through legislation or formal negotiation. European partners have rejected any cession, while U.S. constitutional requirements for congressional approval or treaty ratification impose significant procedural barriers. Traders view these structural and international hurdles as decisive, with discussions remaining limited to basing arrangements rather than outright territorial incorporation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$22,962 交易量
$22,962 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$22,962 交易量
$22,962 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent diplomatic resistance from Denmark and Greenlandic leaders, reinforced by NATO allies, has kept the implied probability of U.S. territorial annexation in 2026 at roughly 11.5 percent. President Trump’s renewed focus on Greenland for Arctic security has prompted a January 2026 congressional bill authorizing acquisition and recent talks on new military bases, yet no sovereignty transfer has advanced through legislation or formal negotiation. European partners have rejected any cession, while U.S. constitutional requirements for congressional approval or treaty ratification impose significant procedural barriers. Traders view these structural and international hurdles as decisive, with discussions remaining limited to basing arrangements rather than outright territorial incorporation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
交易量
$22,962結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent diplomatic resistance from Denmark and Greenlandic leaders, reinforced by NATO allies, has kept the implied probability of U.S. territorial annexation in 2026 at roughly 11.5 percent. President Trump’s renewed focus on Greenland for Arctic security has prompted a January 2026 congressional bill authorizing acquisition and recent talks on new military bases, yet no sovereignty transfer has advanced through legislation or formal negotiation. European partners have rejected any cession, while U.S. constitutional requirements for congressional approval or treaty ratification impose significant procedural barriers. Traders view these structural and international hurdles as decisive, with discussions remaining limited to basing arrangements rather than outright territorial incorporation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$22,962結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent diplomatic resistance from Denmark and Greenlandic leaders, reinforced by NATO allies, has kept the implied probability of U.S. territorial annexation in 2026 at roughly 11.5 percent. President Trump’s renewed focus on Greenland for Arctic security has prompted a January 2026 congressional bill authorizing acquisition and recent talks on new military bases, yet no sovereignty transfer has advanced through legislation or formal negotiation. European partners have rejected any cession, while U.S. constitutional requirements for congressional approval or treaty ratification impose significant procedural barriers. Traders view these structural and international hurdles as decisive, with discussions remaining limited to basing arrangements rather than outright territorial incorporation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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