Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.5% for European Union dissolution before 2027, reflecting the bloc's robust institutional framework, including treaty changes requiring unanimous member state approval and no invocations of Article 50 withdrawal since Brexit's 2020 completion. Recent developments, such as Hungary's political shifts challenging Viktor Orbán's veto-prone stance and steady progress on enlargement talks with Ukraine and others, underscore ongoing cohesion despite fiscal pressures and energy challenges. Economic interdependence via the single market and eurozone, coupled with majority public support in polls favoring integration over breakup, drives this near-certainty. Realistic disruptions could include cascading sovereign debt crises or escalated continental conflict triggering multiple exits, though structural barriers remain formidable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于欧盟在2027年之前解体？
欧盟在2027年之前解体？
是
$166,093 交易量
$166,093 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$166,093 交易量
$166,093 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.5% for European Union dissolution before 2027, reflecting the bloc's robust institutional framework, including treaty changes requiring unanimous member state approval and no invocations of Article 50 withdrawal since Brexit's 2020 completion. Recent developments, such as Hungary's political shifts challenging Viktor Orbán's veto-prone stance and steady progress on enlargement talks with Ukraine and others, underscore ongoing cohesion despite fiscal pressures and energy challenges. Economic interdependence via the single market and eurozone, coupled with majority public support in polls favoring integration over breakup, drives this near-certainty. Realistic disruptions could include cascading sovereign debt crises or escalated continental conflict triggering multiple exits, though structural barriers remain formidable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ET
交易量
$166,093结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.5% for European Union dissolution before 2027, reflecting the bloc's robust institutional framework, including treaty changes requiring unanimous member state approval and no invocations of Article 50 withdrawal since Brexit's 2020 completion. Recent developments, such as Hungary's political shifts challenging Viktor Orbán's veto-prone stance and steady progress on enlargement talks with Ukraine and others, underscore ongoing cohesion despite fiscal pressures and energy challenges. Economic interdependence via the single market and eurozone, coupled with majority public support in polls favoring integration over breakup, drives this near-certainty. Realistic disruptions could include cascading sovereign debt crises or escalated continental conflict triggering multiple exits, though structural barriers remain formidable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$166,093结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.5% for European Union dissolution before 2027, reflecting the bloc's robust institutional framework, including treaty changes requiring unanimous member state approval and no invocations of Article 50 withdrawal since Brexit's 2020 completion. Recent developments, such as Hungary's political shifts challenging Viktor Orbán's veto-prone stance and steady progress on enlargement talks with Ukraine and others, underscore ongoing cohesion despite fiscal pressures and energy challenges. Economic interdependence via the single market and eurozone, coupled with majority public support in polls favoring integration over breakup, drives this near-certainty. Realistic disruptions could include cascading sovereign debt crises or escalated continental conflict triggering multiple exits, though structural barriers remain formidable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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