Recent ensemble forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models, incorporating a weak cold front sliding south of the region, have driven the market's 100% consensus on a 17°C high for Cape Town on August 14. Increased cloud cover and moderated northerly winds suppressed daytime warming following the 23°C peak observed the prior day, aligning with typical August climatology of 16–18°C maxima under similar synoptic patterns. Official monitoring confirms the outcome through standardized measurements at primary stations. Only an unanticipated model error in boundary-layer mixing or an unforecasted berg wind surge could shift the recorded maximum outside this narrow range before final data validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日开普敦气温最高？
8月14日开普敦气温最高？
17°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$46,069 交易量
$46,069 交易量
2026-08-14
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
17°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$46,069 交易量
$46,069 交易量
2026-08-14
13°C或以下
$517 交易量
否
14°C
$6,957 交易量
否
15°C
$4,963 交易量
否
16°C
$6,513 交易量
否
17°C
$4,576 交易量
是
18°C
$3,213 交易量
否
19°C
$4,167 交易量
否
20°C
$1,718 交易量
否
21°C
$2,419 交易量
否
22°C
$5,485 交易量
否
23°C或更高
$5,541 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models, incorporating a weak cold front sliding south of the region, have driven the market's 100% consensus on a 17°C high for Cape Town on August 14. Increased cloud cover and moderated northerly winds suppressed daytime warming following the 23°C peak observed the prior day, aligning with typical August climatology of 16–18°C maxima under similar synoptic patterns. Official monitoring confirms the outcome through standardized measurements at primary stations. Only an unanticipated model error in boundary-layer mixing or an unforecasted berg wind surge could shift the recorded maximum outside this narrow range before final data validation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$46,069结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models, incorporating a weak cold front sliding south of the region, have driven the market's 100% consensus on a 17°C high for Cape Town on August 14. Increased cloud cover and moderated northerly winds suppressed daytime warming following the 23°C peak observed the prior day, aligning with typical August climatology of 16–18°C maxima under similar synoptic patterns. Official monitoring confirms the outcome through standardized measurements at primary stations. Only an unanticipated model error in boundary-layer mixing or an unforecasted berg wind surge could shift the recorded maximum outside this narrow range before final data validation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$46,069结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent ensemble forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models, incorporating a weak cold front sliding south of the region, have driven the market's 100% consensus on a 17°C high for Cape Town on August 14. Increased cloud cover and moderated northerly winds suppressed daytime warming following the 23°C peak observed the prior day, aligning with typical August climatology of 16–18°C maxima under similar synoptic patterns. Official monitoring confirms the outcome through standardized measurements at primary stations. Only an unanticipated model error in boundary-layer mixing or an unforecasted berg wind surge could shift the recorded maximum outside this narrow range before final data validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题