National Weather Service and model guidance project a high near 98–99°F in Houston on August 20 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, anchoring the 58% market-implied probability for that bin. Persistent late-summer high pressure and subsidence across Southeast Texas suppress cloud cover and limit convection, supporting strong daytime heating despite Gulf moisture. Ensemble spreads remain modest, centered between 97°F and 101°F, consistent with August climatology. Any increase in afternoon thunderstorms or wind shifts could cap the peak near 97°F, while clearer conditions might push readings into the 100–101°F range. Traders are closely tracking the latest model runs ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日休斯顿的最高温度？
8月20日休斯顿的最高温度？
98-99°F 59%
100-101°F 30%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
91°F或以下
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
59%
100-101°F
30%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F或更高
<1%
98-99°F 59%
100-101°F 30%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
91°F或以下
$138 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$25 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$161 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$144 交易量
9%
98-99°F
$889 交易量
59%
100-101°F
$433 交易量
30%
102-103°F
$89 交易量
4%
104-105°F
$126 交易量
2%
106-107°F
$65 交易量
<1%
108-109°F
$15 交易量
<1%
110°F或更高
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and model guidance project a high near 98–99°F in Houston on August 20 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, anchoring the 58% market-implied probability for that bin. Persistent late-summer high pressure and subsidence across Southeast Texas suppress cloud cover and limit convection, supporting strong daytime heating despite Gulf moisture. Ensemble spreads remain modest, centered between 97°F and 101°F, consistent with August climatology. Any increase in afternoon thunderstorms or wind shifts could cap the peak near 97°F, while clearer conditions might push readings into the 100–101°F range. Traders are closely tracking the latest model runs ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$2,101结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and model guidance project a high near 98–99°F in Houston on August 20 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, anchoring the 58% market-implied probability for that bin. Persistent late-summer high pressure and subsidence across Southeast Texas suppress cloud cover and limit convection, supporting strong daytime heating despite Gulf moisture. Ensemble spreads remain modest, centered between 97°F and 101°F, consistent with August climatology. Any increase in afternoon thunderstorms or wind shifts could cap the peak near 97°F, while clearer conditions might push readings into the 100–101°F range. Traders are closely tracking the latest model runs ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,101结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNational Weather Service and model guidance project a high near 98–99°F in Houston on August 20 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, anchoring the 58% market-implied probability for that bin. Persistent late-summer high pressure and subsidence across Southeast Texas suppress cloud cover and limit convection, supporting strong daytime heating despite Gulf moisture. Ensemble spreads remain modest, centered between 97°F and 101°F, consistent with August climatology. Any increase in afternoon thunderstorms or wind shifts could cap the peak near 97°F, while clearer conditions might push readings into the 100–101°F range. Traders are closely tracking the latest model runs ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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