Forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional outlooks points to a daily maximum of 36–38°C in Jeddah on September 2, aligning with early-September climatology near 36.7°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and northwest winds of 5–7 m/s that limit cooling. This narrow band explains the tight trader split between the 37°C (31.5% implied probability) and 38°C (38.5%) outcomes, as small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing or slight humidity variations can shift the recorded high by 1°C. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution, though official airport observations remain the final arbiter.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日吉达的最高温度?
38°C 39%
37°C 32%
39°C 16%
36°C 12%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
12%
37°C
32%
38°C
39%
39°C
16%
40°C或更高
5%
38°C 39%
37°C 32%
39°C 16%
36°C 12%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
12%
37°C
32%
38°C
39%
39°C
16%
40°C或更高
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional outlooks points to a daily maximum of 36–38°C in Jeddah on September 2, aligning with early-September climatology near 36.7°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and northwest winds of 5–7 m/s that limit cooling. This narrow band explains the tight trader split between the 37°C (31.5% implied probability) and 38°C (38.5%) outcomes, as small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing or slight humidity variations can shift the recorded high by 1°C. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution, though official airport observations remain the final arbiter.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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