Persistent summer atmospheric patterns and recent China Meteorological Administration model runs support the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 11. Mid-August climatology features average daily highs near 29–32°C, with frequent exceedances of 35°C during heat events driven by subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. Current forecasts align with this baseline, projecting maxima around 30–34°C amid typical humidity levels that moderate but do not suppress peak readings. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unusually heavy precipitation could theoretically cap temperatures below 26°C, yet such shifts remain inconsistent with ensemble guidance and historical analogs for the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日济南气温最高？
8月11日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 99.6%
25°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.6%
25°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
16°C or below
$725 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,065 交易量
<1%
18°C
$715 交易量
<1%
19°C
$998 交易量
<1%
20°C
$260 交易量
<1%
21°C
$195 交易量
<1%
22°C
$245 交易量
<1%
23°C
$195 交易量
<1%
24°C
$256 交易量
<1%
25°C
$358 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,074 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer atmospheric patterns and recent China Meteorological Administration model runs support the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 11. Mid-August climatology features average daily highs near 29–32°C, with frequent exceedances of 35°C during heat events driven by subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. Current forecasts align with this baseline, projecting maxima around 30–34°C amid typical humidity levels that moderate but do not suppress peak readings. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unusually heavy precipitation could theoretically cap temperatures below 26°C, yet such shifts remain inconsistent with ensemble guidance and historical analogs for the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$7,085结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer atmospheric patterns and recent China Meteorological Administration model runs support the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 11. Mid-August climatology features average daily highs near 29–32°C, with frequent exceedances of 35°C during heat events driven by subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. Current forecasts align with this baseline, projecting maxima around 30–34°C amid typical humidity levels that moderate but do not suppress peak readings. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unusually heavy precipitation could theoretically cap temperatures below 26°C, yet such shifts remain inconsistent with ensemble guidance and historical analogs for the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,085结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETPersistent summer atmospheric patterns and recent China Meteorological Administration model runs support the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 11. Mid-August climatology features average daily highs near 29–32°C, with frequent exceedances of 35°C during heat events driven by subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. Current forecasts align with this baseline, projecting maxima around 30–34°C amid typical humidity levels that moderate but do not suppress peak readings. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unusually heavy precipitation could theoretically cap temperatures below 26°C, yet such shifts remain inconsistent with ensemble guidance and historical analogs for the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题