Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and associated atmospheric instability from a regional weather system are suppressing daytime heating over Zhengzhou on August 11, 2026, locking in a maximum temperature near 26°C according to official monitoring. Recent model consensus from agencies tracking the event highlights flash flood risks and limited solar insolation as key factors preventing the usual August peak near 30–32°C, with surface observations confirming light rain and high humidity further moderating the diurnal range. This evidence underpins the market's 99.4% implied probability on 26°C. Only an unexpected rapid clearing of skies or revised station data could realistically shift the outcome, though current conditions make such changes improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日郑州气温最高？
8月11日郑州气温最高？
26°C 99.4%
27°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$10,247 交易量
$10,247 交易量
2026-08-11
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
99%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.4%
27°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$10,247 交易量
$10,247 交易量
2026-08-11
22°C or below
$205 交易量
<1%
23°C
$633 交易量
<1%
24°C
$631 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,595 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,098 交易量
99%
27°C
$745 交易量
<1%
28°C
$991 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,480 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,331 交易量
<1%
31°C
$343 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$195 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and associated atmospheric instability from a regional weather system are suppressing daytime heating over Zhengzhou on August 11, 2026, locking in a maximum temperature near 26°C according to official monitoring. Recent model consensus from agencies tracking the event highlights flash flood risks and limited solar insolation as key factors preventing the usual August peak near 30–32°C, with surface observations confirming light rain and high humidity further moderating the diurnal range. This evidence underpins the market's 99.4% implied probability on 26°C. Only an unexpected rapid clearing of skies or revised station data could realistically shift the outcome, though current conditions make such changes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$10,247结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and associated atmospheric instability from a regional weather system are suppressing daytime heating over Zhengzhou on August 11, 2026, locking in a maximum temperature near 26°C according to official monitoring. Recent model consensus from agencies tracking the event highlights flash flood risks and limited solar insolation as key factors preventing the usual August peak near 30–32°C, with surface observations confirming light rain and high humidity further moderating the diurnal range. This evidence underpins the market's 99.4% implied probability on 26°C. Only an unexpected rapid clearing of skies or revised station data could realistically shift the outcome, though current conditions make such changes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,247结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETPersistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and associated atmospheric instability from a regional weather system are suppressing daytime heating over Zhengzhou on August 11, 2026, locking in a maximum temperature near 26°C according to official monitoring. Recent model consensus from agencies tracking the event highlights flash flood risks and limited solar insolation as key factors preventing the usual August peak near 30–32°C, with surface observations confirming light rain and high humidity further moderating the diurnal range. This evidence underpins the market's 99.4% implied probability on 26°C. Only an unexpected rapid clearing of skies or revised station data could realistically shift the outcome, though current conditions make such changes improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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