Recent forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a highest temperature in Lucknow on August 21 most likely between 32–34°C, driven by active monsoon conditions bringing thundery showers, widespread cloud cover, and elevated humidity that limit daytime heating. These factors align with climatological norms for late August in the Indo-Gangetic plain, where average highs hover near 31–32°C amid seasonal rainfall. Market-implied odds favor 33°C at 38.5% as the consensus reflects this expected moderation from convective activity and potential for isolated downpours, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 31–34°C range given model agreement and minimal recent shifts in steering patterns or moisture profiles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日勒克瑙的最高温度？
8月21日勒克瑙的最高温度？
33°C 41%
32°C 24%
34°C 20%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
11%
32°C
24%
33°C
41%
34°C
20%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 41%
32°C 24%
34°C 20%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
27°C or below
$598 交易量
<1%
28°C
$352 交易量
<1%
29°C
$191 交易量
1%
30°C
$54 交易量
3%
31°C
$232 交易量
11%
32°C
$195 交易量
24%
33°C
$628 交易量
41%
34°C
$244 交易量
20%
35°C
$213 交易量
7%
36°C
$75 交易量
2%
37°C or higher
$205 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a highest temperature in Lucknow on August 21 most likely between 32–34°C, driven by active monsoon conditions bringing thundery showers, widespread cloud cover, and elevated humidity that limit daytime heating. These factors align with climatological norms for late August in the Indo-Gangetic plain, where average highs hover near 31–32°C amid seasonal rainfall. Market-implied odds favor 33°C at 38.5% as the consensus reflects this expected moderation from convective activity and potential for isolated downpours, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 31–34°C range given model agreement and minimal recent shifts in steering patterns or moisture profiles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,987结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a highest temperature in Lucknow on August 21 most likely between 32–34°C, driven by active monsoon conditions bringing thundery showers, widespread cloud cover, and elevated humidity that limit daytime heating. These factors align with climatological norms for late August in the Indo-Gangetic plain, where average highs hover near 31–32°C amid seasonal rainfall. Market-implied odds favor 33°C at 38.5% as the consensus reflects this expected moderation from convective activity and potential for isolated downpours, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 31–34°C range given model agreement and minimal recent shifts in steering patterns or moisture profiles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,987结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies including the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a highest temperature in Lucknow on August 21 most likely between 32–34°C, driven by active monsoon conditions bringing thundery showers, widespread cloud cover, and elevated humidity that limit daytime heating. These factors align with climatological norms for late August in the Indo-Gangetic plain, where average highs hover near 31–32°C amid seasonal rainfall. Market-implied odds favor 33°C at 38.5% as the consensus reflects this expected moderation from convective activity and potential for isolated downpours, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 31–34°C range given model agreement and minimal recent shifts in steering patterns or moisture profiles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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