Recent meteorological observations confirm Madrid's peak temperature on August 15 remained at or below 30°C, driven by increased cloud cover, light showers, and reduced solar insolation that suppressed daytime heating relative to the 37–38°C readings two days earlier. Official station data from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, aligned with model consensus from European and U.S. forecasting centers, showed lighter southerly flow and higher humidity limiting maximums to roughly 27–29°C. This outcome aligns with typical late-summer variability under a weakening high-pressure ridge, though persistent clear skies or stronger downslope winds could have pushed readings above the threshold in other scenarios.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日马德里气温最高？
8月15日马德里气温最高？
30°C or below 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$173,479 交易量
$173,479 交易量
2026-08-15
30°C or below
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
30°C or below 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$173,479 交易量
$173,479 交易量
2026-08-15
30°C or below
$38,937 交易量
Yes
31°C
$30,213 交易量
No
32°C
$25,460 交易量
No
33°C
$22,213 交易量
No
34°C
$17,995 交易量
No
35°C
$16,447 交易量
No
36°C
$13,729 交易量
No
37°C
$5,595 交易量
No
38°C
$1,790 交易量
No
39°C
$840 交易量
No
40°C or higher
$260 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations confirm Madrid's peak temperature on August 15 remained at or below 30°C, driven by increased cloud cover, light showers, and reduced solar insolation that suppressed daytime heating relative to the 37–38°C readings two days earlier. Official station data from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, aligned with model consensus from European and U.S. forecasting centers, showed lighter southerly flow and higher humidity limiting maximums to roughly 27–29°C. This outcome aligns with typical late-summer variability under a weakening high-pressure ridge, though persistent clear skies or stronger downslope winds could have pushed readings above the threshold in other scenarios.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$173,479结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations confirm Madrid's peak temperature on August 15 remained at or below 30°C, driven by increased cloud cover, light showers, and reduced solar insolation that suppressed daytime heating relative to the 37–38°C readings two days earlier. Official station data from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, aligned with model consensus from European and U.S. forecasting centers, showed lighter southerly flow and higher humidity limiting maximums to roughly 27–29°C. This outcome aligns with typical late-summer variability under a weakening high-pressure ridge, though persistent clear skies or stronger downslope winds could have pushed readings above the threshold in other scenarios.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$173,479结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent meteorological observations confirm Madrid's peak temperature on August 15 remained at or below 30°C, driven by increased cloud cover, light showers, and reduced solar insolation that suppressed daytime heating relative to the 37–38°C readings two days earlier. Official station data from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, aligned with model consensus from European and U.S. forecasting centers, showed lighter southerly flow and higher humidity limiting maximums to roughly 27–29°C. This outcome aligns with typical late-summer variability under a weakening high-pressure ridge, though persistent clear skies or stronger downslope winds could have pushed readings above the threshold in other scenarios.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题