Recent forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office and regional models positions a daily maximum near 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 23 under mostly clear skies and moderate westerly flow. This aligns with the market's dominant 66% implied probability for 32°C and secondary 30.5% for 33°C. Typical late-August conditions feature highs averaging 30–31°C, but current runs show slight positive anomalies without extreme heat signals or significant model spread. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak amid light winds and low humidity that limit further intensification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日特拉维夫的最高温度?
32°C 66%
33°C 31%
31°C 5%
30°C 2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
66%
33°C
31%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 66%
33°C 31%
31°C 5%
30°C 2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
66%
33°C
31%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office and regional models positions a daily maximum near 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 23 under mostly clear skies and moderate westerly flow. This aligns with the market's dominant 66% implied probability for 32°C and secondary 30.5% for 33°C. Typical late-August conditions feature highs averaging 30–31°C, but current runs show slight positive anomalies without extreme heat signals or significant model spread. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak amid light winds and low humidity that limit further intensification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题