Forecast consensus from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 22 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly sea breezes typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. These factors, aligned with climatological averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations in the low- to mid-30s°C, underpin the market-implied 64% probability for 33°C and 28.5% for 32°C. Model runs show limited spread, with minimal signals for intensification or cooling, though minor revisions in steering patterns or local humidity could shift the peak within the narrow 30–34°C range ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日特拉维夫的最高温度?
33°C 65%
32°C 30%
34°C 9%
30°C 4%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
30%
33°C
65%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 65%
32°C 30%
34°C 9%
30°C 4%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
30%
33°C
65%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 22 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly sea breezes typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. These factors, aligned with climatological averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations in the low- to mid-30s°C, underpin the market-implied 64% probability for 33°C and 28.5% for 32°C. Model runs show limited spread, with minimal signals for intensification or cooling, though minor revisions in steering patterns or local humidity could shift the peak within the narrow 30–34°C range ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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