Recent forecast guidance from AccuWeather, timeanddate, and similar models points to Warsaw daytime maxima of 27–29 °C on June 19 under southerly flow, ample solar heating, and light winds that favor modest boundary-layer mixing. Partly cloudy skies with possible early sprinkles introduce the main uncertainty, as thicker cloud cover or convective timing could shave 1–2 °C off the peak while clearer intervals support the higher end. These values sit well above the long-term June average near 22–24 °C, yet remain within the typical range of interannual variability. Trader positioning clusters tightly on 27–28 °C because numerical models show only modest spread in maximum temperature, with resolution hinging on the precise hour of peak insolation and any late-day shower development.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 19?
27°C 38%
28°C 38%
26°C 11%
29°C 11%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
38%
28°C
38%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 38%
28°C 38%
26°C 11%
29°C 11%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
38%
28°C
38%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 17, 2026, 2:50 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from AccuWeather, timeanddate, and similar models points to Warsaw daytime maxima of 27–29 °C on June 19 under southerly flow, ample solar heating, and light winds that favor modest boundary-layer mixing. Partly cloudy skies with possible early sprinkles introduce the main uncertainty, as thicker cloud cover or convective timing could shave 1–2 °C off the peak while clearer intervals support the higher end. These values sit well above the long-term June average near 22–24 °C, yet remain within the typical range of interannual variability. Trader positioning clusters tightly on 27–28 °C because numerical models show only modest spread in maximum temperature, with resolution hinging on the precise hour of peak insolation and any late-day shower development.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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