**Strong meteorological consensus from numerical weather prediction models underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a 29°C high in Zhengzhou on September 16.** Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project an overcast day with southerly winds and limited solar heating, yielding a daytime maximum of 29–30°C after an overnight low near 18–20°C. This aligns with typical early-autumn patterns in the North China Plain, where seasonal cooling and cloud cover suppress peaks below late-summer averages. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger subsidence allowing brief warming above 30°C, though current observations and ensemble guidance indicate low probability of such shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日郑州气温最高？
9月16日郑州气温最高？
29°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,884 交易量
$6,884 交易量
2026-09-16
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或更高
否
29°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,884 交易量
$6,884 交易量
2026-09-16
22°C或以下
$25 交易量
否
23°C
$60 交易量
否
24°C
$153 交易量
否
25°C
$134 交易量
否
26°C
$298 交易量
否
27°C
$423 交易量
否
28°C
$295 交易量
否
29°C
$2,032 交易量
是
30°C
$447 交易量
否
31°C
$691 交易量
否
32°C或更高
$2,326 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong meteorological consensus from numerical weather prediction models underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a 29°C high in Zhengzhou on September 16.** Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project an overcast day with southerly winds and limited solar heating, yielding a daytime maximum of 29–30°C after an overnight low near 18–20°C. This aligns with typical early-autumn patterns in the North China Plain, where seasonal cooling and cloud cover suppress peaks below late-summer averages. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger subsidence allowing brief warming above 30°C, though current observations and ensemble guidance indicate low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$6,884结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong meteorological consensus from numerical weather prediction models underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a 29°C high in Zhengzhou on September 16.** Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project an overcast day with southerly winds and limited solar heating, yielding a daytime maximum of 29–30°C after an overnight low near 18–20°C. This aligns with typical early-autumn patterns in the North China Plain, where seasonal cooling and cloud cover suppress peaks below late-summer averages. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger subsidence allowing brief warming above 30°C, though current observations and ensemble guidance indicate low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,884结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Strong meteorological consensus from numerical weather prediction models underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a 29°C high in Zhengzhou on September 16.** Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project an overcast day with southerly winds and limited solar heating, yielding a daytime maximum of 29–30°C after an overnight low near 18–20°C. This aligns with typical early-autumn patterns in the North China Plain, where seasonal cooling and cloud cover suppress peaks below late-summer averages. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger subsidence allowing brief warming above 30°C, though current observations and ensemble guidance indicate low probability of such shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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