Juliana Stratton's commanding lead in trader consensus for the Illinois U.S. Senate race stems from the state's entrenched Democratic lean, where Republicans have not secured a statewide win since 2010, compounded by her strong primary victory on March 17 backed by Governor JB Pritzker's resources and statewide name recognition as former lieutenant governor. Facing former Illinois GOP chair Don Tracy, post-primary ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball maintain the seat as Safe Democratic, with no competitive general election polls emerging in the past 30 days amid steady fundraising advantages for Democrats. While probabilities exceed 90%, late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an overwhelming national Republican wave could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,612 交易量
$24,612 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$24,612 交易量
$24,612 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$12,484 交易量
94%
共和党
$12,128 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton's commanding lead in trader consensus for the Illinois U.S. Senate race stems from the state's entrenched Democratic lean, where Republicans have not secured a statewide win since 2010, compounded by her strong primary victory on March 17 backed by Governor JB Pritzker's resources and statewide name recognition as former lieutenant governor. Facing former Illinois GOP chair Don Tracy, post-primary ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball maintain the seat as Safe Democratic, with no competitive general election polls emerging in the past 30 days amid steady fundraising advantages for Democrats. While probabilities exceed 90%, late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an overwhelming national Republican wave could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$24,612结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton's commanding lead in trader consensus for the Illinois U.S. Senate race stems from the state's entrenched Democratic lean, where Republicans have not secured a statewide win since 2010, compounded by her strong primary victory on March 17 backed by Governor JB Pritzker's resources and statewide name recognition as former lieutenant governor. Facing former Illinois GOP chair Don Tracy, post-primary ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball maintain the seat as Safe Democratic, with no competitive general election polls emerging in the past 30 days amid steady fundraising advantages for Democrats. While probabilities exceed 90%, late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an overwhelming national Republican wave could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$24,612结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Juliana Stratton's commanding lead in trader consensus for the Illinois U.S. Senate race stems from the state's entrenched Democratic lean, where Republicans have not secured a statewide win since 2010, compounded by her strong primary victory on March 17 backed by Governor JB Pritzker's resources and statewide name recognition as former lieutenant governor. Facing former Illinois GOP chair Don Tracy, post-primary ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball maintain the seat as Safe Democratic, with no competitive general election polls emerging in the past 30 days amid steady fundraising advantages for Democrats. While probabilities exceed 90%, late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an overwhelming national Republican wave could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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