Juliana Stratton holds a commanding lead in the Illinois U.S. Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests and her strong positioning as the party's nominee for the open seat vacated by longtime Sen. Dick Durbin. As lieutenant governor, Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Gov. J.B. Pritzker and prevailed over sitting members of Congress. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats routinely win Senate races by wide margins. Trader consensus reflects this baseline, with limited recent developments—such as candidate interviews on issues like immigration and affordability—unlikely to alter the trajectory absent a major unforeseen event like a health crisis or scandal before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,618 交易量
$29,618 交易量
2026-11-03
朱莉安娜·斯特拉顿（民主党）
95%
唐·特雷西（共和党）
4%
$29,618 交易量
$29,618 交易量
2026-11-03
朱莉安娜·斯特拉顿（民主党）
$15,199 交易量
95%
唐·特雷西（共和党）
$14,419 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton holds a commanding lead in the Illinois U.S. Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests and her strong positioning as the party's nominee for the open seat vacated by longtime Sen. Dick Durbin. As lieutenant governor, Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Gov. J.B. Pritzker and prevailed over sitting members of Congress. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats routinely win Senate races by wide margins. Trader consensus reflects this baseline, with limited recent developments—such as candidate interviews on issues like immigration and affordability—unlikely to alter the trajectory absent a major unforeseen event like a health crisis or scandal before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$29,618结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton holds a commanding lead in the Illinois U.S. Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests and her strong positioning as the party's nominee for the open seat vacated by longtime Sen. Dick Durbin. As lieutenant governor, Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Gov. J.B. Pritzker and prevailed over sitting members of Congress. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats routinely win Senate races by wide margins. Trader consensus reflects this baseline, with limited recent developments—such as candidate interviews on issues like immigration and affordability—unlikely to alter the trajectory absent a major unforeseen event like a health crisis or scandal before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$29,618结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Juliana Stratton holds a commanding lead in the Illinois U.S. Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests and her strong positioning as the party's nominee for the open seat vacated by longtime Sen. Dick Durbin. As lieutenant governor, Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Gov. J.B. Pritzker and prevailed over sitting members of Congress. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats routinely win Senate races by wide margins. Trader consensus reflects this baseline, with limited recent developments—such as candidate interviews on issues like immigration and affordability—unlikely to alter the trajectory absent a major unforeseen event like a health crisis or scandal before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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