Illinois's strong Democratic lean and the open seat created by longtime Sen. Dick Durbin's retirement have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear favorite following her March 2026 primary victory with substantial support from Gov. J.B. Pritzker and other party leaders. Stratton defeated higher-profile congressional challengers in a contest centered on fundraising and name recognition, while Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, prevailed in a less contested GOP primary but faces structural disadvantages in a state that has consistently favored Democrats in Senate races. Current trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with forecasts projecting a wide margin based on partisan registration, historical voting patterns, and limited polling shifts since the primaries. An upset would require extraordinary developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics in the final weeks before the November election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$31,071 交易量
$31,071 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉安娜·斯特拉顿（民主党）
96%
唐·特雷西（共和党）
4%
$31,071 交易量
$31,071 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉安娜·斯特拉顿（民主党）
$16,622 交易量
96%
唐·特雷西（共和党）
$14,449 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic lean and the open seat created by longtime Sen. Dick Durbin's retirement have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear favorite following her March 2026 primary victory with substantial support from Gov. J.B. Pritzker and other party leaders. Stratton defeated higher-profile congressional challengers in a contest centered on fundraising and name recognition, while Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, prevailed in a less contested GOP primary but faces structural disadvantages in a state that has consistently favored Democrats in Senate races. Current trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with forecasts projecting a wide margin based on partisan registration, historical voting patterns, and limited polling shifts since the primaries. An upset would require extraordinary developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics in the final weeks before the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$31,071结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic lean and the open seat created by longtime Sen. Dick Durbin's retirement have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear favorite following her March 2026 primary victory with substantial support from Gov. J.B. Pritzker and other party leaders. Stratton defeated higher-profile congressional challengers in a contest centered on fundraising and name recognition, while Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, prevailed in a less contested GOP primary but faces structural disadvantages in a state that has consistently favored Democrats in Senate races. Current trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with forecasts projecting a wide margin based on partisan registration, historical voting patterns, and limited polling shifts since the primaries. An upset would require extraordinary developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics in the final weeks before the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$31,071结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's strong Democratic lean and the open seat created by longtime Sen. Dick Durbin's retirement have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear favorite following her March 2026 primary victory with substantial support from Gov. J.B. Pritzker and other party leaders. Stratton defeated higher-profile congressional challengers in a contest centered on fundraising and name recognition, while Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, prevailed in a less contested GOP primary but faces structural disadvantages in a state that has consistently favored Democrats in Senate races. Current trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with forecasts projecting a wide margin based on partisan registration, historical voting patterns, and limited polling shifts since the primaries. An upset would require extraordinary developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics in the final weeks before the November election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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