The overwhelming market-implied probability against removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30 reflects the absence of any active legislative repeal, broad waiver, or executive action capable of meeting the tight deadline. The 1920 law maintains strong support from maritime unions, domestic shipbuilders, and energy-sector stakeholders who view it as essential to U.S. vessel construction and employment, limiting political appetite for change during the current congressional calendar. With no pending bills advancing through committee and competing priorities dominating the legislative agenda, traders see near-zero realistic pathways for enactment. While low-probability tail risks such as a surprise national-emergency declaration or eleventh-hour rider remain theoretically possible, the procedural and political barriers make them remote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$52,403 交易量
$52,403 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$52,403 交易量
$52,403 交易量
2026-06-30
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The overwhelming market-implied probability against removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30 reflects the absence of any active legislative repeal, broad waiver, or executive action capable of meeting the tight deadline. The 1920 law maintains strong support from maritime unions, domestic shipbuilders, and energy-sector stakeholders who view it as essential to U.S. vessel construction and employment, limiting political appetite for change during the current congressional calendar. With no pending bills advancing through committee and competing priorities dominating the legislative agenda, traders see near-zero realistic pathways for enactment. While low-probability tail risks such as a surprise national-emergency declaration or eleventh-hour rider remain theoretically possible, the procedural and political barriers make them remote.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
交易量
$52,403结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The overwhelming market-implied probability against removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30 reflects the absence of any active legislative repeal, broad waiver, or executive action capable of meeting the tight deadline. The 1920 law maintains strong support from maritime unions, domestic shipbuilders, and energy-sector stakeholders who view it as essential to U.S. vessel construction and employment, limiting political appetite for change during the current congressional calendar. With no pending bills advancing through committee and competing priorities dominating the legislative agenda, traders see near-zero realistic pathways for enactment. While low-probability tail risks such as a surprise national-emergency declaration or eleventh-hour rider remain theoretically possible, the procedural and political barriers make them remote.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$52,403结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The overwhelming market-implied probability against removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30 reflects the absence of any active legislative repeal, broad waiver, or executive action capable of meeting the tight deadline. The 1920 law maintains strong support from maritime unions, domestic shipbuilders, and energy-sector stakeholders who view it as essential to U.S. vessel construction and employment, limiting political appetite for change during the current congressional calendar. With no pending bills advancing through committee and competing priorities dominating the legislative agenda, traders see near-zero realistic pathways for enactment. While low-probability tail risks such as a surprise national-emergency declaration or eleventh-hour rider remain theoretically possible, the procedural and political barriers make them remote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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