The market's near-certain pricing on 23°C as Hong Kong's lowest temperature for May 17 reflects official minimum readings from the Hong Kong Observatory's urban and airport stations, which recorded exactly 23.0°C overnight under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and clear skies. This outcome matches long-term May climatology for the region, where nighttime radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and the urban heat island, keeping minima typically between 22–25°C. Traders appear to have anchored on the real-time observational data rather than model guidance, which showed little spread. While rare post-publication quality-control adjustments by the Observatory could theoretically shift the figure, such revisions have been negligible for daily temperature records in recent years.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日香港最低气温？
5月17日香港最低气温？
23°C 50.3%
24°C 47.7%
19°C 1.0%
28°C或以上 <1%
$28,520 交易量
$28,520 交易量
2026-05-17
18°C或以下
47%
19°C
1%
20°C
45%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
50%
24°C
48%
25°C
-
26°C
-
27°C
-
28°C或以上
1%
23°C 50.3%
24°C 47.7%
19°C 1.0%
28°C或以上 <1%
$28,520 交易量
$28,520 交易量
2026-05-17
18°C或以下
$1,419 交易量
47%
19°C
$1,135 交易量
1%
20°C
$810 交易量
45%
21°C
$1,816 交易量
1%
22°C
$2,815 交易量
1%
23°C
$6,443 交易量
50%
24°C
$7,857 交易量
48%
25°C
$2,338 交易量
-
26°C
$1,281 交易量
-
27°C
$821 交易量
-
28°C或以上
$2,416 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain pricing on 23°C as Hong Kong's lowest temperature for May 17 reflects official minimum readings from the Hong Kong Observatory's urban and airport stations, which recorded exactly 23.0°C overnight under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and clear skies. This outcome matches long-term May climatology for the region, where nighttime radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and the urban heat island, keeping minima typically between 22–25°C. Traders appear to have anchored on the real-time observational data rather than model guidance, which showed little spread. While rare post-publication quality-control adjustments by the Observatory could theoretically shift the figure, such revisions have been negligible for daily temperature records in recent years.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
交易量
$28,520结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain pricing on 23°C as Hong Kong's lowest temperature for May 17 reflects official minimum readings from the Hong Kong Observatory's urban and airport stations, which recorded exactly 23.0°C overnight under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and clear skies. This outcome matches long-term May climatology for the region, where nighttime radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and the urban heat island, keeping minima typically between 22–25°C. Traders appear to have anchored on the real-time observational data rather than model guidance, which showed little spread. While rare post-publication quality-control adjustments by the Observatory could theoretically shift the figure, such revisions have been negligible for daily temperature records in recent years.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$28,520结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThe market's near-certain pricing on 23°C as Hong Kong's lowest temperature for May 17 reflects official minimum readings from the Hong Kong Observatory's urban and airport stations, which recorded exactly 23.0°C overnight under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and clear skies. This outcome matches long-term May climatology for the region, where nighttime radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and the urban heat island, keeping minima typically between 22–25°C. Traders appear to have anchored on the real-time observational data rather than model guidance, which showed little spread. While rare post-publication quality-control adjustments by the Observatory could theoretically shift the figure, such revisions have been negligible for daily temperature records in recent years.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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