The overwhelming market consensus favoring a 23°C low in Hong Kong on May 16 reflects consistent guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and global forecast models showing stable subtropical conditions typical for mid-May. With no approaching weather systems or significant cloud cover expected to alter overnight radiative cooling, temperatures are projected to bottom out near the seasonal average of 23–25°C before rising through the day. Historical data from the past decade confirm that daily minima rarely fall below 22°C during this period absent unusual northerly winds or heavy rain. The sole realistic challenge would involve an unforeseen late-model run shift introducing cooler maritime air, though current ensemble agreement places such a deviation well outside probable outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月16日香港最低气温？
5月16日香港最低气温？
23°C 99.9%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$37,736 交易量
$37,736 交易量
2026-05-16
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
23°C 99.9%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$37,736 交易量
$37,736 交易量
2026-05-16
18°C或以下
$2,220 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,380 交易量
<1%
20°C
$676 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,778 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,589 交易量
<1%
23°C
$3,673 交易量
100%
24°C
$6,962 交易量
<1%
25°C
$8,368 交易量
<1%
26°C
$5,219 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,252 交易量
<1%
28°C或以上
$2,619 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus favoring a 23°C low in Hong Kong on May 16 reflects consistent guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and global forecast models showing stable subtropical conditions typical for mid-May. With no approaching weather systems or significant cloud cover expected to alter overnight radiative cooling, temperatures are projected to bottom out near the seasonal average of 23–25°C before rising through the day. Historical data from the past decade confirm that daily minima rarely fall below 22°C during this period absent unusual northerly winds or heavy rain. The sole realistic challenge would involve an unforeseen late-model run shift introducing cooler maritime air, though current ensemble agreement places such a deviation well outside probable outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$37,736结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus favoring a 23°C low in Hong Kong on May 16 reflects consistent guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and global forecast models showing stable subtropical conditions typical for mid-May. With no approaching weather systems or significant cloud cover expected to alter overnight radiative cooling, temperatures are projected to bottom out near the seasonal average of 23–25°C before rising through the day. Historical data from the past decade confirm that daily minima rarely fall below 22°C during this period absent unusual northerly winds or heavy rain. The sole realistic challenge would involve an unforeseen late-model run shift introducing cooler maritime air, though current ensemble agreement places such a deviation well outside probable outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$37,736结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThe overwhelming market consensus favoring a 23°C low in Hong Kong on May 16 reflects consistent guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and global forecast models showing stable subtropical conditions typical for mid-May. With no approaching weather systems or significant cloud cover expected to alter overnight radiative cooling, temperatures are projected to bottom out near the seasonal average of 23–25°C before rising through the day. Historical data from the past decade confirm that daily minima rarely fall below 22°C during this period absent unusual northerly winds or heavy rain. The sole realistic challenge would involve an unforeseen late-model run shift introducing cooler maritime air, though current ensemble agreement places such a deviation well outside probable outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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