Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a minimum near 25°C for May 18 under mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and persistent southeasterly flow from a low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea. Elevated relative humidity of 75–95% suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation, while urban heat-island effects in dense districts further buffer overnight drops. These subtropical pre-monsoon conditions align with climatological baselines where mid-May lows cluster between 24–26°C at King’s Park. Model consensus favors the 25°C outcome at 32.5% implied probability, though brief cloud breaks could allow marginal cooling toward 24°C. Traders monitor the next HKO bulletin for refined wind and moisture guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日香港最低气温？
5月18日香港最低气温？
25°C 33%
24°C 28%
23°C 17%
26°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
17%
24°C
25%
25°C
33%
26°C
14%
27°C
4%
28°C或以上
<1%
25°C 33%
24°C 28%
23°C 17%
26°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
18°C或以下
$314 交易量
<1%
19°C
$379 交易量
<1%
20°C
$153 交易量
1%
21°C
$118 交易量
1%
22°C
$120 交易量
1%
23°C
$86 交易量
17%
24°C
$25 交易量
25%
25°C
$54 交易量
33%
26°C
$33 交易量
14%
27°C
$194 交易量
4%
28°C或以上
$261 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a minimum near 25°C for May 18 under mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and persistent southeasterly flow from a low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea. Elevated relative humidity of 75–95% suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation, while urban heat-island effects in dense districts further buffer overnight drops. These subtropical pre-monsoon conditions align with climatological baselines where mid-May lows cluster between 24–26°C at King’s Park. Model consensus favors the 25°C outcome at 32.5% implied probability, though brief cloud breaks could allow marginal cooling toward 24°C. Traders monitor the next HKO bulletin for refined wind and moisture guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,737结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a minimum near 25°C for May 18 under mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and persistent southeasterly flow from a low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea. Elevated relative humidity of 75–95% suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation, while urban heat-island effects in dense districts further buffer overnight drops. These subtropical pre-monsoon conditions align with climatological baselines where mid-May lows cluster between 24–26°C at King’s Park. Model consensus favors the 25°C outcome at 32.5% implied probability, though brief cloud breaks could allow marginal cooling toward 24°C. Traders monitor the next HKO bulletin for refined wind and moisture guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,737结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a minimum near 25°C for May 18 under mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and persistent southeasterly flow from a low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea. Elevated relative humidity of 75–95% suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation, while urban heat-island effects in dense districts further buffer overnight drops. These subtropical pre-monsoon conditions align with climatological baselines where mid-May lows cluster between 24–26°C at King’s Park. Model consensus favors the 25°C outcome at 32.5% implied probability, though brief cloud breaks could allow marginal cooling toward 24°C. Traders monitor the next HKO bulletin for refined wind and moisture guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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