The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日香港最低气温？
9月9日香港最低气温？
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,767 交易量
$19,767 交易量
2026-09-09
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,767 交易量
$19,767 交易量
2026-09-09
21°C或以下
$95 交易量
否
22°C
$1,102 交易量
否
23°C
$647 交易量
否
24°C
$332 交易量
否
25°C
$1,158 交易量
否
26°C
$3,106 交易量
否
27°C
$8,521 交易量
是
28°C
$2,027 交易量
否
29°C
$2,278 交易量
否
30°C
$260 交易量
否
31°C或更高
$241 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$19,767结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$19,767结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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