Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate New York City overnight lows for August 21 will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities around 66–69°F. This positioning reflects a modest cooling trend relative to mid-August averages near 67–70°F, driven by northerly flow and clearer skies that enhance radiational cooling under lighter winds. Model consensus points to a minimum near 66–68°F, with limited spread across guidance due to stable high-pressure influence and no significant warm advection expected overnight. Historical August Central Park data shows comparable late-month lows occur frequently when dew points drop below 60°F, supporting trader focus on these bins over warmer or much cooler outcomes. Updated model runs through August 19–20 have reinforced this range without major shifts, keeping resolution criteria centered on the official Central Park thermometer reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月21日的最低温度？
纽约市8月21日的最低温度？
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 16%
64-65°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
57°F或更低
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
42%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F或更高
1%
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 16%
64-65°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
57°F或更低
$170 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$10 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$15 交易量
2%
62-63°F
$51 交易量
4%
64-65°F
$99 交易量
6%
66-67°F
$6 交易量
25%
68-69°F
$56 交易量
42%
70-71°F
$121 交易量
16%
72-73°F
$130 交易量
4%
74-75°F
$238 交易量
1%
76°F或更高
$158 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate New York City overnight lows for August 21 will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities around 66–69°F. This positioning reflects a modest cooling trend relative to mid-August averages near 67–70°F, driven by northerly flow and clearer skies that enhance radiational cooling under lighter winds. Model consensus points to a minimum near 66–68°F, with limited spread across guidance due to stable high-pressure influence and no significant warm advection expected overnight. Historical August Central Park data shows comparable late-month lows occur frequently when dew points drop below 60°F, supporting trader focus on these bins over warmer or much cooler outcomes. Updated model runs through August 19–20 have reinforced this range without major shifts, keeping resolution criteria centered on the official Central Park thermometer reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$1,054结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate New York City overnight lows for August 21 will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities around 66–69°F. This positioning reflects a modest cooling trend relative to mid-August averages near 67–70°F, driven by northerly flow and clearer skies that enhance radiational cooling under lighter winds. Model consensus points to a minimum near 66–68°F, with limited spread across guidance due to stable high-pressure influence and no significant warm advection expected overnight. Historical August Central Park data shows comparable late-month lows occur frequently when dew points drop below 60°F, supporting trader focus on these bins over warmer or much cooler outcomes. Updated model runs through August 19–20 have reinforced this range without major shifts, keeping resolution criteria centered on the official Central Park thermometer reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,054结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRecent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate New York City overnight lows for August 21 will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities around 66–69°F. This positioning reflects a modest cooling trend relative to mid-August averages near 67–70°F, driven by northerly flow and clearer skies that enhance radiational cooling under lighter winds. Model consensus points to a minimum near 66–68°F, with limited spread across guidance due to stable high-pressure influence and no significant warm advection expected overnight. Historical August Central Park data shows comparable late-month lows occur frequently when dew points drop below 60°F, supporting trader focus on these bins over warmer or much cooler outcomes. Updated model runs through August 19–20 have reinforced this range without major shifts, keeping resolution criteria centered on the official Central Park thermometer reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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