Current forecasts from agencies and models, including hourly data for Incheon, indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C on September 19 under stable high pressure, with northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, partly cloudy skies, and no precipitation expected. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs of 27–28°C, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region. Recent model consensus shows little shift in steering patterns or moisture that would push readings notably lower or higher, supporting the market's emphasis on 19°C (44% implied probability) and 20°C (25%) while assigning lower odds to 18°C or below. Updated guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine overnight minimums ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日首尔(仁川)气温最低?
19°C 44%
18°C 31%
20°C 29%
21°C 19%
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
17%
19°C
44%
20°C
29%
21°C
19%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C或更高
1%
19°C 44%
18°C 31%
20°C 29%
21°C 19%
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
17%
19°C
44%
20°C
29%
21°C
19%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from agencies and models, including hourly data for Incheon, indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C on September 19 under stable high pressure, with northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, partly cloudy skies, and no precipitation expected. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs of 27–28°C, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region. Recent model consensus shows little shift in steering patterns or moisture that would push readings notably lower or higher, supporting the market's emphasis on 19°C (44% implied probability) and 20°C (25%) while assigning lower odds to 18°C or below. Updated guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine overnight minimums ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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