Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting global model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Incheon on September 23, driven by clear skies under a stable high-pressure pattern that favors strong nighttime radiative cooling. Key variables include the exact timing of any thin cloud cover or light winds, which could limit cooling and push the low toward 20°C or higher, versus enhanced clear-air conditions or a subtle northerly flow that might allow readings near 18°C. With only 48 hours until resolution, small shifts in the 00Z or 12Z model runs could alter the outcome, explaining the broad market distribution across 18–20°C while lower probabilities on extremes reflect the limited likelihood of significant pattern changes this late in the forecast window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
9月23日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
20°C 34%
23°C 30%
24°C 30%
21°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
15℃或以下
2%
16°C
21%
17°C
11%
18°C
17%
19°C
23%
20°C
34%
21°C
29%
22°C
27%
23°C
30%
24°C
30%
25°C或更高
2%
20°C 34%
23°C 30%
24°C 30%
21°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
15℃或以下
$0 交易量
2%
16°C
$0 交易量
21%
17°C
$0 交易量
11%
18°C
$0 交易量
17%
19°C
$0 交易量
23%
20°C
$0 交易量
34%
21°C
$0 交易量
29%
22°C
$0 交易量
27%
23°C
$0 交易量
30%
24°C
$0 交易量
30%
25°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting global model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Incheon on September 23, driven by clear skies under a stable high-pressure pattern that favors strong nighttime radiative cooling. Key variables include the exact timing of any thin cloud cover or light winds, which could limit cooling and push the low toward 20°C or higher, versus enhanced clear-air conditions or a subtle northerly flow that might allow readings near 18°C. With only 48 hours until resolution, small shifts in the 00Z or 12Z model runs could alter the outcome, explaining the broad market distribution across 18–20°C while lower probabilities on extremes reflect the limited likelihood of significant pattern changes this late in the forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting global model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Incheon on September 23, driven by clear skies under a stable high-pressure pattern that favors strong nighttime radiative cooling. Key variables include the exact timing of any thin cloud cover or light winds, which could limit cooling and push the low toward 20°C or higher, versus enhanced clear-air conditions or a subtle northerly flow that might allow readings near 18°C. With only 48 hours until resolution, small shifts in the 00Z or 12Z model runs could alter the outcome, explaining the broad market distribution across 18–20°C while lower probabilities on extremes reflect the limited likelihood of significant pattern changes this late in the forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting global model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Incheon on September 23, driven by clear skies under a stable high-pressure pattern that favors strong nighttime radiative cooling. Key variables include the exact timing of any thin cloud cover or light winds, which could limit cooling and push the low toward 20°C or higher, versus enhanced clear-air conditions or a subtle northerly flow that might allow readings near 18°C. With only 48 hours until resolution, small shifts in the 00Z or 12Z model runs could alter the outcome, explaining the broad market distribution across 18–20°C while lower probabilities on extremes reflect the limited likelihood of significant pattern changes this late in the forecast window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题