Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 10 will likely fall in the 24–26°C range amid a subtropical monsoon pattern with easterly to northeasterly flow, isolated showers or thunderstorms, and moderate humidity. This clustering drives the near-even split between the 29°C-or-higher and 19°C-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh the risk of stronger nocturnal cooling under clearer skies or enhanced mixing from rain-cooled air versus limited radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover. Historical September minima average near 24–25°C, but day-to-day variability from steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures can shift the minimum by several degrees within 48 hours. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next day will likely narrow the distribution around the central tendency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日深圳最低气温？
9月10日深圳最低气温？
19°C或以下 85%
29℃或更高 83%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
19°C或以下
85%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
12%
23°C
21%
24°C
24%
25°C
28%
26°C
24%
27°C
20%
28°C
5%
29℃或更高
83%
19°C或以下 85%
29℃或更高 83%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
19°C或以下
$30 交易量
85%
20°C
$25 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C
$27 交易量
12%
23°C
$10 交易量
21%
24°C
$0 交易量
24%
25°C
$0 交易量
28%
26°C
$0 交易量
24%
27°C
$0 交易量
20%
28°C
$0 交易量
5%
29℃或更高
$25 交易量
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 10 will likely fall in the 24–26°C range amid a subtropical monsoon pattern with easterly to northeasterly flow, isolated showers or thunderstorms, and moderate humidity. This clustering drives the near-even split between the 29°C-or-higher and 19°C-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh the risk of stronger nocturnal cooling under clearer skies or enhanced mixing from rain-cooled air versus limited radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover. Historical September minima average near 24–25°C, but day-to-day variability from steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures can shift the minimum by several degrees within 48 hours. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next day will likely narrow the distribution around the central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$117结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 10 will likely fall in the 24–26°C range amid a subtropical monsoon pattern with easterly to northeasterly flow, isolated showers or thunderstorms, and moderate humidity. This clustering drives the near-even split between the 29°C-or-higher and 19°C-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh the risk of stronger nocturnal cooling under clearer skies or enhanced mixing from rain-cooled air versus limited radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover. Historical September minima average near 24–25°C, but day-to-day variability from steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures can shift the minimum by several degrees within 48 hours. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next day will likely narrow the distribution around the central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$117结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 10 will likely fall in the 24–26°C range amid a subtropical monsoon pattern with easterly to northeasterly flow, isolated showers or thunderstorms, and moderate humidity. This clustering drives the near-even split between the 29°C-or-higher and 19°C-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh the risk of stronger nocturnal cooling under clearer skies or enhanced mixing from rain-cooled air versus limited radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover. Historical September minima average near 24–25°C, but day-to-day variability from steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures can shift the minimum by several degrees within 48 hours. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next day will likely narrow the distribution around the central tendency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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