**Trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s September 9 lowest temperature centers on 26–27 °C, reflecting current official and model guidance for a typical late-summer subtropical night.** Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with Chinese meteorological sources and international models, indicate an overnight minimum near 25–27 °C under partly cloudy to rainy conditions, with high humidity (around 80–90 %) limiting radiational cooling and light easterly or northeasterly winds. Daytime highs near 32–33 °C and scattered thunderstorms or light rain further support modest overnight drops rather than sharper declines. Historical September averages for the city place typical lows around 25–26 °C, providing a climatological baseline that reinforces the market’s tight clustering. With resolution imminent on the calendar day, any late-day model updates or real-time station observations from Shenzhen could still shift the final recorded minimum within the narrow 26–27 °C range favored by current implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日深圳最低气温?
26°C 31%
24°C 10%
23°C 7%
25°C 6.6%
22°C或以下
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
7%
26°C
31%
27°C
71%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
26°C 31%
24°C 10%
23°C 7%
25°C 6.6%
22°C或以下
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
7%
26°C
31%
27°C
71%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s September 9 lowest temperature centers on 26–27 °C, reflecting current official and model guidance for a typical late-summer subtropical night.** Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with Chinese meteorological sources and international models, indicate an overnight minimum near 25–27 °C under partly cloudy to rainy conditions, with high humidity (around 80–90 %) limiting radiational cooling and light easterly or northeasterly winds. Daytime highs near 32–33 °C and scattered thunderstorms or light rain further support modest overnight drops rather than sharper declines. Historical September averages for the city place typical lows around 25–26 °C, providing a climatological baseline that reinforces the market’s tight clustering. With resolution imminent on the calendar day, any late-day model updates or real-time station observations from Shenzhen could still shift the final recorded minimum within the narrow 26–27 °C range favored by current implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题