Current forecast models from agencies including the Central Weather Administration point to a lowest temperature near 25°C in Taipei on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and elevated dew points that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under a subtropical monsoon pattern. High humidity and 70-100% precipitation chances overnight suppress typical temperature drops, aligning with recent observations of 24-26°C lows amid similar conditions. Trader consensus at 45.5% for 25°C and 30.5% for 26°C reflects this model agreement, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below account for potential breaks in cloud cover. Updated model runs and official overnight readings will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日台北气温最低？
9月6日台北气温最低？
25°C 45%
26°C 34%
21℃ 23%
22°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
20°C或以下
16%
21℃
23%
22°C
22%
23°C
11%
24°C
22%
25°C
45%
26°C
34%
27°C
18%
28°C
22%
29°C
4%
30°C或以上
16%
25°C 45%
26°C 34%
21℃ 23%
22°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
16%
21℃
$12 交易量
23%
22°C
$0 交易量
22%
23°C
$0 交易量
11%
24°C
$2 交易量
22%
25°C
$0 交易量
45%
26°C
$0 交易量
34%
27°C
$2 交易量
18%
28°C
$0 交易量
22%
29°C
$0 交易量
4%
30°C或以上
$0 交易量
16%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Central Weather Administration point to a lowest temperature near 25°C in Taipei on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and elevated dew points that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under a subtropical monsoon pattern. High humidity and 70-100% precipitation chances overnight suppress typical temperature drops, aligning with recent observations of 24-26°C lows amid similar conditions. Trader consensus at 45.5% for 25°C and 30.5% for 26°C reflects this model agreement, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below account for potential breaks in cloud cover. Updated model runs and official overnight readings will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$16结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Central Weather Administration point to a lowest temperature near 25°C in Taipei on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and elevated dew points that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under a subtropical monsoon pattern. High humidity and 70-100% precipitation chances overnight suppress typical temperature drops, aligning with recent observations of 24-26°C lows amid similar conditions. Trader consensus at 45.5% for 25°C and 30.5% for 26°C reflects this model agreement, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below account for potential breaks in cloud cover. Updated model runs and official overnight readings will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies including the Central Weather Administration point to a lowest temperature near 25°C in Taipei on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and elevated dew points that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under a subtropical monsoon pattern. High humidity and 70-100% precipitation chances overnight suppress typical temperature drops, aligning with recent observations of 24-26°C lows amid similar conditions. Trader consensus at 45.5% for 25°C and 30.5% for 26°C reflects this model agreement, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below account for potential breaks in cloud cover. Updated model runs and official overnight readings will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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