Recent heavy rainfall from a passing weather system has cooled Tokyo ahead of September 22, with overnight lows on the 20th–21st dropping to 21–22°C amid saturated conditions and northerly winds. Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models converge on a minimum of 21–23°C for the 22nd under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, as residual moisture and moderate northwest flow limit radiative cooling. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average minima hover near 19°C but recent wet patterns have kept values elevated. Market-implied odds favoring 23–24°C reflect trader assessment of these model runs and the low likelihood of further significant cooling before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日东京气温最低？
9月22日东京气温最低？
24°C 42%
23°C 36%
22°C 11%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
11%
23°C
36%
24°C
42%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C或更高
1%
24°C 42%
23°C 36%
22°C 11%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
19°C
$86 交易量
1%
20°C
$102 交易量
3%
21°C
$66 交易量
9%
22°C
$151 交易量
11%
23°C
$628 交易量
36%
24°C
$427 交易量
42%
25°C
$271 交易量
5%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$0 交易量
2%
28°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall from a passing weather system has cooled Tokyo ahead of September 22, with overnight lows on the 20th–21st dropping to 21–22°C amid saturated conditions and northerly winds. Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models converge on a minimum of 21–23°C for the 22nd under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, as residual moisture and moderate northwest flow limit radiative cooling. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average minima hover near 19°C but recent wet patterns have kept values elevated. Market-implied odds favoring 23–24°C reflect trader assessment of these model runs and the low likelihood of further significant cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,730结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall from a passing weather system has cooled Tokyo ahead of September 22, with overnight lows on the 20th–21st dropping to 21–22°C amid saturated conditions and northerly winds. Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models converge on a minimum of 21–23°C for the 22nd under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, as residual moisture and moderate northwest flow limit radiative cooling. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average minima hover near 19°C but recent wet patterns have kept values elevated. Market-implied odds favoring 23–24°C reflect trader assessment of these model runs and the low likelihood of further significant cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,730结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent heavy rainfall from a passing weather system has cooled Tokyo ahead of September 22, with overnight lows on the 20th–21st dropping to 21–22°C amid saturated conditions and northerly winds. Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models converge on a minimum of 21–23°C for the 22nd under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, as residual moisture and moderate northwest flow limit radiative cooling. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average minima hover near 19°C but recent wet patterns have kept values elevated. Market-implied odds favoring 23–24°C reflect trader assessment of these model runs and the low likelihood of further significant cooling before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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