Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter's commanding fundraising lead—over $900,000 raised versus negligible sums from primary challengers Andrew Castilleja and Jessica Salas—bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic House win in Oregon's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+24 Cook PVI. Ballots for the May 19 primary mailed last week, where Dexter is positioned for easy renomination amid the district's history of Democratic blowouts, including her 2024 68-25% general election margin. Only one Republican, Loran Ayles, seeks nomination so far, underscoring weak GOP opposition. While a national Republican wave, Dexter primary upset, or unforeseen scandal could shift odds, structural advantages favor Democrats through the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$748 交易量
94%
共和党
$586 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter's commanding fundraising lead—over $900,000 raised versus negligible sums from primary challengers Andrew Castilleja and Jessica Salas—bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic House win in Oregon's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+24 Cook PVI. Ballots for the May 19 primary mailed last week, where Dexter is positioned for easy renomination amid the district's history of Democratic blowouts, including her 2024 68-25% general election margin. Only one Republican, Loran Ayles, seeks nomination so far, underscoring weak GOP opposition. While a national Republican wave, Dexter primary upset, or unforeseen scandal could shift odds, structural advantages favor Democrats through the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$1,334结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter's commanding fundraising lead—over $900,000 raised versus negligible sums from primary challengers Andrew Castilleja and Jessica Salas—bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic House win in Oregon's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+24 Cook PVI. Ballots for the May 19 primary mailed last week, where Dexter is positioned for easy renomination amid the district's history of Democratic blowouts, including her 2024 68-25% general election margin. Only one Republican, Loran Ayles, seeks nomination so far, underscoring weak GOP opposition. While a national Republican wave, Dexter primary upset, or unforeseen scandal could shift odds, structural advantages favor Democrats through the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,334结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter's commanding fundraising lead—over $900,000 raised versus negligible sums from primary challengers Andrew Castilleja and Jessica Salas—bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic House win in Oregon's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+24 Cook PVI. Ballots for the May 19 primary mailed last week, where Dexter is positioned for easy renomination amid the district's history of Democratic blowouts, including her 2024 68-25% general election margin. Only one Republican, Loran Ayles, seeks nomination so far, underscoring weak GOP opposition. While a national Republican wave, Dexter primary upset, or unforeseen scandal could shift odds, structural advantages favor Democrats through the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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