Oregon's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat centered on the eastern Portland metro area, where incumbent Maxine Dexter secured renomination with nearly 90 percent in the May 2026 primary. All major forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November vote, consistent with Dexter's 2024 performance and the district's partisan baseline. The Republican nominee, Loran Ayles, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins. Trader consensus at 96 percent Democratic reflects this entrenched advantage and the absence of recent developments that would alter the race's fundamentals. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or national political realignment large enough to overcome the seat's established voting patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,108 交易量
$20,108 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
96%
共和党
4%
$20,108 交易量
$20,108 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$4,811 交易量
96%
共和党
$15,297 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat centered on the eastern Portland metro area, where incumbent Maxine Dexter secured renomination with nearly 90 percent in the May 2026 primary. All major forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November vote, consistent with Dexter's 2024 performance and the district's partisan baseline. The Republican nominee, Loran Ayles, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins. Trader consensus at 96 percent Democratic reflects this entrenched advantage and the absence of recent developments that would alter the race's fundamentals. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or national political realignment large enough to overcome the seat's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$20,108结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat centered on the eastern Portland metro area, where incumbent Maxine Dexter secured renomination with nearly 90 percent in the May 2026 primary. All major forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November vote, consistent with Dexter's 2024 performance and the district's partisan baseline. The Republican nominee, Loran Ayles, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins. Trader consensus at 96 percent Democratic reflects this entrenched advantage and the absence of recent developments that would alter the race's fundamentals. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or national political realignment large enough to overcome the seat's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,108结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETOregon's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat centered on the eastern Portland metro area, where incumbent Maxine Dexter secured renomination with nearly 90 percent in the May 2026 primary. All major forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November vote, consistent with Dexter's 2024 performance and the district's partisan baseline. The Republican nominee, Loran Ayles, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins. Trader consensus at 96 percent Democratic reflects this entrenched advantage and the absence of recent developments that would alter the race's fundamentals. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or national political realignment large enough to overcome the seat's established voting patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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