With the 2027 Oscars race still in its early stages and most 2026 releases yet to screen, trader sentiment for Best Supporting Actor reflects a wide-open field where Paul Giamatti holds the highest implied probability at 32.5% on anticipated lead roles. John Goodman, Robert Pattinson, and Sam Rockwell trail at single-digit levels, underscoring how buzz depends on upcoming festival premieres, guild precursors, and critical reception rather than confirmed frontrunners. Historical patterns show supporting categories often shift dramatically after guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and the PGA, while late-year releases can quickly elevate dark horses. Key swing factors include box-office performance, review aggregator scores, and industry narratives around veteran comebacks versus emerging talent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 33%
John Goodman 8%
Sam Rockwell 7.8%
Robert Pattinson 6.9%

Paul Giamatti
33%

John Goodman
8%

Sam Rockwell
24%

Robert Pattinson
7%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Miles Teller
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Robert De Niro
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Colman Domingo
3%

Edward Norton
3%

Travis Scott
3%

Michael Fassbender
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Charles Melton
2%

Adam Scott
2%

James Ortiz
1%
Paul Giamatti 33%
John Goodman 8%
Sam Rockwell 7.8%
Robert Pattinson 6.9%

Paul Giamatti
33%

John Goodman
8%

Sam Rockwell
24%

Robert Pattinson
7%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Miles Teller
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Robert De Niro
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Colman Domingo
3%

Edward Norton
3%

Travis Scott
3%

Michael Fassbender
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Charles Melton
2%

Adam Scott
2%

James Ortiz
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Oscars race still in its early stages and most 2026 releases yet to screen, trader sentiment for Best Supporting Actor reflects a wide-open field where Paul Giamatti holds the highest implied probability at 32.5% on anticipated lead roles. John Goodman, Robert Pattinson, and Sam Rockwell trail at single-digit levels, underscoring how buzz depends on upcoming festival premieres, guild precursors, and critical reception rather than confirmed frontrunners. Historical patterns show supporting categories often shift dramatically after guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and the PGA, while late-year releases can quickly elevate dark horses. Key swing factors include box-office performance, review aggregator scores, and industry narratives around veteran comebacks versus emerging talent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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