Skip to main content
icon for 佩德罗·桑切斯( Pedro Sánchez )出任西班牙总理... ?

佩德罗·桑切斯( Pedro Sánchez )出任西班牙总理... ?

icon for 佩德罗·桑切斯( Pedro Sánchez )出任西班牙总理... ?

佩德罗·桑切斯( Pedro Sánchez )出任西班牙总理... ?

$287,374 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$287,374 交易量

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$237,461 交易量

2%

2026年12月31日

$49,946 交易量

17%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pedro Sánchez continues to lead Spain's minority coalition government despite ongoing investigations into corruption allegations involving his wife and senior PSOE figures, which intensified in early 2026. Regional election setbacks, including heavy losses in Aragon in February, have strained parliamentary support from Catalan and Basque allies, while the absence of a new budget since 2023 limits legislative flexibility. Sánchez has countered domestic pressures by hosting a high-profile progressive summit in Barcelona in April and positioning Spain as a vocal critic of U.S. policy under Trump, boosting his standing among left-leaning voters. Traders see limited near-term risk of his departure before late 2026, as he has publicly committed to serving through the scheduled 2027 general election absent a successful no-confidence vote or coalition breakdown.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$287,374
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pedro Sánchez continues to lead Spain's minority coalition government despite ongoing investigations into corruption allegations involving his wife and senior PSOE figures, which intensified in early 2026. Regional election setbacks, including heavy losses in Aragon in February, have strained parliamentary support from Catalan and Basque allies, while the absence of a new budget since 2023 limits legislative flexibility. Sánchez has countered domestic pressures by hosting a high-profile progressive summit in Barcelona in April and positioning Spain as a vocal critic of U.S. policy under Trump, boosting his standing among left-leaning voters. Traders see limited near-term risk of his departure before late 2026, as he has publicly committed to serving through the scheduled 2027 general election absent a successful no-confidence vote or coalition breakdown.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$287,374
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"佩德罗·桑切斯( Pedro Sánchez )出任西班牙总理... ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年12月31日",概率为 17%,其次是"2026年6月30日",概率为 2%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 17¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 17%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"佩德罗·桑切斯( Pedro Sánchez )出任西班牙总理... ?"已产生 $287.4K 的总交易量(自Dec 3, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"佩德罗·桑切斯( Pedro Sánchez )出任西班牙总理... ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"佩德罗·桑切斯( Pedro Sánchez )出任西班牙总理... ?"的当前领先者是"2026年12月31日",概率为 17%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 17%。紧随其后的结果是"2026年6月30日",概率为 2%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"佩德罗·桑切斯( Pedro Sánchez )出任西班牙总理... ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。