Trader consensus implies an 88.5% probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russian president through December 31, 2026, anchored in his constitutionally secured term until 2030 following the March 2024 election victory. No verified official announcements, health disclosures, or leadership transitions have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this, despite unconfirmed rumors of elite discontent and potential coups amid Russia's ongoing Ukraine military stalemate, economic contraction, and sanctions pressures. Early May reports of heightened Kremlin security around Putin signal proactive defense against internal threats rather than instability. Traders weigh his historical suppression of dissent and control over security apparatus as dominant factors, though abrupt diplomatic shifts or scandals could alter dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$4,270,274 交易量
$4,270,274 交易量
是
$4,270,274 交易量
$4,270,274 交易量
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus implies an 88.5% probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russian president through December 31, 2026, anchored in his constitutionally secured term until 2030 following the March 2024 election victory. No verified official announcements, health disclosures, or leadership transitions have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this, despite unconfirmed rumors of elite discontent and potential coups amid Russia's ongoing Ukraine military stalemate, economic contraction, and sanctions pressures. Early May reports of heightened Kremlin security around Putin signal proactive defense against internal threats rather than instability. Traders weigh his historical suppression of dissent and control over security apparatus as dominant factors, though abrupt diplomatic shifts or scandals could alter dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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