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政治·全球选举

瑞典议会选举获胜者

icon for 瑞典议会选举获胜者
政治·全球选举

瑞典议会选举获胜者

瑞典社会民主工人党（S） 91%

瑞典民主党（SD） 4.3%

瑞典温和党（M） 3.6%

公民联盟（MED） <1%

Polymarket

$1,100,658 交易量

瑞典社会民主工人党（S） 91%

瑞典民主党（SD） 4.3%

瑞典温和党（M） 3.6%

公民联盟（MED） <1%

Polymarket

$1,100,658 交易量

icon for 瑞典社会民主工人党（S）

瑞典社会民主工人党（S）

$36,469 交易量

91%

icon for 瑞典民主党（SD）

瑞典民主党（SD）

$513,900 交易量

4%

icon for 瑞典温和党（M）

瑞典温和党（M）

$380,469 交易量

4%

icon for 公民联盟（MED）

公民联盟（MED）

$14,084 交易量

1%

icon for 基督教民主党 (KD)

基督教民主党 (KD)

$14,543 交易量

<1%

icon for 左翼党（V）

左翼党（V）

$15,128 交易量

<1%

icon for 中间党 (C)

中间党 (C)

$16,666 交易量

<1%

icon for 自由党（L）

自由党（L）

$14,829 交易量

<1%

icon for 绿党（MP）

绿党（MP）

$94,570 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).The Swedish Social Democrats maintain a commanding lead in voting intention surveys ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, underpinning trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Recent polling averages place the party at approximately 33 percent, roughly 13 points ahead of the Sweden Democrats and 15 points ahead of the Moderate Party, with the broader left bloc holding a narrow edge over the right-wing Tidö arrangement. This positioning stems from sustained opposition strength following the 2022 result, where the Social Democrats remained the single largest party despite losing government control. Stable trends through April and May 2026 show little erosion despite right-wing policy efforts on immigration and security. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpected economic downturns, leadership controversies, or larger-than-expected shifts among undecided voters in the final months.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$1,100,658
结束日期
2026-09-13
市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).The Swedish Social Democrats maintain a commanding lead in voting intention surveys ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, underpinning trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Recent polling averages place the party at approximately 33 percent, roughly 13 points ahead of the Sweden Democrats and 15 points ahead of the Moderate Party, with the broader left bloc holding a narrow edge over the right-wing Tidö arrangement. This positioning stems from sustained opposition strength following the 2022 result, where the Social Democrats remained the single largest party despite losing government control. Stable trends through April and May 2026 show little erosion despite right-wing policy efforts on immigration and security. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpected economic downturns, leadership controversies, or larger-than-expected shifts among undecided voters in the final months.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$1,100,658
结束日期
2026-09-13
市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"瑞典议会选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"瑞典社会民主工人党（S）"，概率为 91%，其次是"瑞典民主党（SD）"，概率为 4%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 91¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 91%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"瑞典议会选举获胜者"已产生 $1.1 million 的总交易量（自Dec 4, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"瑞典议会选举获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"瑞典议会选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"瑞典社会民主工人党（S）"，概率为 91%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 91%。紧随其后的结果是"瑞典民主党（SD）"，概率为 4%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"瑞典议会选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。