US forces conducted a targeted special operations raid in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a brief strike without establishing any sustained ground presence. Defense officials have since confirmed no US troops remain inside the country, while naval and air assets continue operating from Caribbean positions to support counter-narcotics and diplomatic pressure on the interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez. Recent prisoner releases and preliminary talks on reestablishing diplomatic relations have reduced immediate escalation risks, though ongoing instability around oil infrastructure and regime remnants keeps limited contingency planning active. Market pricing reflects low near-term odds of further entry, as administration statements have emphasized offshore leverage over occupation or nation-building scenarios.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,298,270 交易量
2026-01-31
6月30日
6%
$1,298,270 交易量
6月30日
$213,507 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a targeted special operations raid in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a brief strike without establishing any sustained ground presence. Defense officials have since confirmed no US troops remain inside the country, while naval and air assets continue operating from Caribbean positions to support counter-narcotics and diplomatic pressure on the interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez. Recent prisoner releases and preliminary talks on reestablishing diplomatic relations have reduced immediate escalation risks, though ongoing instability around oil infrastructure and regime remnants keeps limited contingency planning active. Market pricing reflects low near-term odds of further entry, as administration statements have emphasized offshore leverage over occupation or nation-building scenarios.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
交易量
$1,298,270结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a targeted special operations raid in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a brief strike without establishing any sustained ground presence. Defense officials have since confirmed no US troops remain inside the country, while naval and air assets continue operating from Caribbean positions to support counter-narcotics and diplomatic pressure on the interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez. Recent prisoner releases and preliminary talks on reestablishing diplomatic relations have reduced immediate escalation risks, though ongoing instability around oil infrastructure and regime remnants keeps limited contingency planning active. Market pricing reflects low near-term odds of further entry, as administration statements have emphasized offshore leverage over occupation or nation-building scenarios.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,298,270结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US forces conducted a targeted special operations raid in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a brief strike without establishing any sustained ground presence. Defense officials have since confirmed no US troops remain inside the country, while naval and air assets continue operating from Caribbean positions to support counter-narcotics and diplomatic pressure on the interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez. Recent prisoner releases and preliminary talks on reestablishing diplomatic relations have reduced immediate escalation risks, though ongoing instability around oil infrastructure and regime remnants keeps limited contingency planning active. Market pricing reflects low near-term odds of further entry, as administration statements have emphasized offshore leverage over occupation or nation-building scenarios.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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