Scattered showers and thunderstorms are the primary driver shaping trader sentiment for rain on August 10, with National Weather Service guidance indicating the highest probabilities across the central and eastern United States due to ongoing atmospheric instability and moisture transport. Western regions, including much of the Southwest and Intermountain West, face minimal precipitation risk amid intensifying heat and high-pressure dominance. NOAA's precipitation outlook for August 3–10 highlights above-normal totals in the East and Upper Midwest contrasted with near-zero amounts farther west, aligning with typical summer convective patterns. Key variables include steering patterns and any shifts in model consensus from the Climate Prediction Center's 6–10 day products. Updated NWS local forecasts and the next CPC briefing represent the nearest data releases likely to influence near-term odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡
50%
雅加达
51%
孟买
50%
马尼拉
51%
Tokyo
51%
拉各斯
51%
曼谷
49%
香港
49%
首尔(仁川)
49%
台北
50%
科伦坡
50%
达卡
49%
吉隆坡
50%
London
49%
迪拜
51%
圣保罗
50%
悉尼
50%
$0.00 交易量
新加坡
50%
雅加达
51%
孟买
50%
马尼拉
51%
Tokyo
51%
拉各斯
51%
曼谷
49%
香港
49%
首尔(仁川)
49%
台北
50%
科伦坡
50%
达卡
49%
吉隆坡
50%
London
49%
迪拜
51%
圣保罗
50%
悉尼
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
市场开放时间: Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are the primary driver shaping trader sentiment for rain on August 10, with National Weather Service guidance indicating the highest probabilities across the central and eastern United States due to ongoing atmospheric instability and moisture transport. Western regions, including much of the Southwest and Intermountain West, face minimal precipitation risk amid intensifying heat and high-pressure dominance. NOAA's precipitation outlook for August 3–10 highlights above-normal totals in the East and Upper Midwest contrasted with near-zero amounts farther west, aligning with typical summer convective patterns. Key variables include steering patterns and any shifts in model consensus from the Climate Prediction Center's 6–10 day products. Updated NWS local forecasts and the next CPC briefing represent the nearest data releases likely to influence near-term odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题