Short-term forecasts from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center and ensemble models highlight above-normal precipitation chances across the western U.S., northern tier, and Alaska for September 1-5 due to troughing and onshore flow, while ridging supports near-normal or drier conditions in parts of the south-central and southeastern regions. International agencies note convective activity and monsoon remnants driving potential rain in the Southwest, Four Corners, and select Asian and Middle Eastern locales. Traders weigh model consensus against resolution thresholds like measurable precipitation at specific stations, with atmospheric steering patterns and moisture availability as key variables; updated model runs today could shift implied probabilities ahead of any final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日哪里会下雨?
纽约,纽约
87%
洛杉矶,加利福尼亚州
26%
芝加哥,伊利诺伊州
26%
德克萨斯州休斯敦
49%
达拉斯,德克萨斯
26%
亚利桑那州凤凰城
26%
费城,宾夕法尼亚州
85%
丹佛,科罗拉多
16%
华盛顿特区
26%
亚特兰大,乔治亚州
26%
迈阿密,佛罗里达
56%
西雅图,华盛顿州
26%
波士顿,马萨诸塞州
86%
新奥尔良,路易斯安那州
26%
旧金山,加利福尼亚州
26%
$0.00 交易量
纽约,纽约
87%
洛杉矶,加利福尼亚州
26%
芝加哥,伊利诺伊州
26%
德克萨斯州休斯敦
49%
达拉斯,德克萨斯
26%
亚利桑那州凤凰城
26%
费城,宾夕法尼亚州
85%
丹佛,科罗拉多
16%
华盛顿特区
26%
亚特兰大,乔治亚州
26%
迈阿密,佛罗里达
56%
西雅图,华盛顿州
26%
波士顿,马萨诸塞州
86%
新奥尔良,路易斯安那州
26%
旧金山,加利福尼亚州
26%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Short-term forecasts from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center and ensemble models highlight above-normal precipitation chances across the western U.S., northern tier, and Alaska for September 1-5 due to troughing and onshore flow, while ridging supports near-normal or drier conditions in parts of the south-central and southeastern regions. International agencies note convective activity and monsoon remnants driving potential rain in the Southwest, Four Corners, and select Asian and Middle Eastern locales. Traders weigh model consensus against resolution thresholds like measurable precipitation at specific stations, with atmospheric steering patterns and moisture availability as key variables; updated model runs today could shift implied probabilities ahead of any final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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