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icon for 下次选举后，谁将成为下一任以色列总理？
政治·中东

下次选举后，谁将成为下一任以色列总理？

icon for 下次选举后，谁将成为下一任以色列总理？
政治·中东

下次选举后，谁将成为下一任以色列总理？

本杰明·内塔尼亚胡 40%

分组项标题：纳夫塔利·贝内特 40%

加迪·埃岑科特 12.3%

分组项标题：Avigdor Lieberman 3.9%

Polymarket

$9,185,498 交易量

本杰明·内塔尼亚胡 40%

分组项标题：纳夫塔利·贝内特 40%

加迪·埃岑科特 12.3%

分组项标题：Avigdor Lieberman 3.9%

Polymarket

$9,185,498 交易量

本杰明·内塔尼亚胡

$751,328 交易量

40%

分组项标题：纳夫塔利·贝内特

$1,243,731 交易量

40%

加迪·埃岑科特

$745,261 交易量

12%

分组项标题：Avigdor Lieberman

$657,163 交易量

4%

分组项标题：Yair Lapid

$507,860 交易量

1%

分组项标题：伊塔马尔·本-吉维尔

$333,657 交易量

1%

以色列·卡茨

$157,509 交易量

1%

艾耶莱特·沙克德

$525,249 交易量

<1%

阿米尔·奥哈纳

$325,209 交易量

<1%

本尼·甘茨

$349,037 交易量

<1%

尤西·科恩

$607,163 交易量

<1%

亚里夫·列文

$467,035 交易量

<1%

亚伊尔·戈兰

$479,869 交易量

<1%

吉迪恩·萨尔

$711,391 交易量

<1%

摩西·费格林

$511,435 交易量

<1%

约阿兹·亨德尔

$530,981 交易量

<1%

尼尔·巴尔卡特

$281,954 交易量

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's upcoming Knesset election, scheduled no later than October 2026 and potentially as early as August amid coalition strain over ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions, shapes trader views on the next prime minister. Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party contends with eroding support tied to prolonged multi-front conflicts and coalition fragility, while Naftali Bennett's newly merged Together alliance with Yair Lapid positions him as a viable alternative capable of assembling a governing majority through centrist and right-leaning partners. Recent polls reflect this balance, with Likud and opposition blocs hovering near parity and no single leader commanding a clear path without complex negotiations. Developments such as further coalition defections, security escalations, or shifts in voter turnout among key blocs could quickly alter the frontrunners' positions in this parliamentary system reliant on post-election coalition building.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,185,498
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's upcoming Knesset election, scheduled no later than October 2026 and potentially as early as August amid coalition strain over ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions, shapes trader views on the next prime minister. Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party contends with eroding support tied to prolonged multi-front conflicts and coalition fragility, while Naftali Bennett's newly merged Together alliance with Yair Lapid positions him as a viable alternative capable of assembling a governing majority through centrist and right-leaning partners. Recent polls reflect this balance, with Likud and opposition blocs hovering near parity and no single leader commanding a clear path without complex negotiations. Developments such as further coalition defections, security escalations, or shifts in voter turnout among key blocs could quickly alter the frontrunners' positions in this parliamentary system reliant on post-election coalition building.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,185,498
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"下次选举后，谁将成为下一任以色列总理？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 17 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"本杰明·内塔尼亚胡"，概率为 40%，其次是"分组项标题：纳夫塔利·贝内特"，概率为 40%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 40¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 40%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"下次选举后，谁将成为下一任以色列总理？"已产生 $9.2 million 的总交易量（自Nov 15, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"下次选举后，谁将成为下一任以色列总理？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 17 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"下次选举后，谁将成为下一任以色列总理？"的当前领先者是"本杰明·内塔尼亚胡"，概率为 40%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 40%。紧随其后的结果是"分组项标题：纳夫塔利·贝内特"，概率为 40%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"下次选举后，谁将成为下一任以色列总理？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。