Recent surges in U.S. retail gasoline prices, now averaging $4.50 per gallon nationally as of mid-May 2026 after a 60% year-to-date rise, reflect elevated crude oil benchmarks and tightening refinery margins. Mild spring demand combined with seasonal inventory builds has kept upward pressure contained so far, yet geopolitical supply risks and higher input costs continue to support elevated levels. The EIA's latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects modest 2026 declines overall, but near-term trader focus centers on whether prices breach key thresholds like $4.60 before month-end resolution. Warm weather forecasts and any late-May inventory reports could influence volatility, while stable production trends limit sharp downside moves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$140,059 交易量
2026-05-31
↑ $5.00
14%
↑ $4.70
52%
↑ $4.60
89%
↓ $4.25
14%
↓ $4.20
10%
↓ $4.10
9%
↓ $4.00
5%
↓ $3.75
3%
↓ $3.50
2%
$140,059 交易量
↑ $5.00
$21,513 交易量
14%
↑ $4.70
$11,417 交易量
52%
↑ $4.60
$11,515 交易量
89%
↓ $4.25
$2,557 交易量
14%
↓ $4.20
$1,868 交易量
10%
↓ $4.10
$796 交易量
9%
↓ $4.00
$884 交易量
5%
↓ $3.75
$1,486 交易量
3%
↓ $3.50
$6,945 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent surges in U.S. retail gasoline prices, now averaging $4.50 per gallon nationally as of mid-May 2026 after a 60% year-to-date rise, reflect elevated crude oil benchmarks and tightening refinery margins. Mild spring demand combined with seasonal inventory builds has kept upward pressure contained so far, yet geopolitical supply risks and higher input costs continue to support elevated levels. The EIA's latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects modest 2026 declines overall, but near-term trader focus centers on whether prices breach key thresholds like $4.60 before month-end resolution. Warm weather forecasts and any late-May inventory reports could influence volatility, while stable production trends limit sharp downside moves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
交易量
$140,059结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent surges in U.S. retail gasoline prices, now averaging $4.50 per gallon nationally as of mid-May 2026 after a 60% year-to-date rise, reflect elevated crude oil benchmarks and tightening refinery margins. Mild spring demand combined with seasonal inventory builds has kept upward pressure contained so far, yet geopolitical supply risks and higher input costs continue to support elevated levels. The EIA's latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects modest 2026 declines overall, but near-term trader focus centers on whether prices breach key thresholds like $4.60 before month-end resolution. Warm weather forecasts and any late-May inventory reports could influence volatility, while stable production trends limit sharp downside moves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
交易量
$140,059结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent surges in U.S. retail gasoline prices, now averaging $4.50 per gallon nationally as of mid-May 2026 after a 60% year-to-date rise, reflect elevated crude oil benchmarks and tightening refinery margins. Mild spring demand combined with seasonal inventory builds has kept upward pressure contained so far, yet geopolitical supply risks and higher input costs continue to support elevated levels. The EIA's latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects modest 2026 declines overall, but near-term trader focus centers on whether prices breach key thresholds like $4.60 before month-end resolution. Warm weather forecasts and any late-May inventory reports could influence volatility, while stable production trends limit sharp downside moves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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