US military policy toward Latin America in 2026 has centered on targeted counter-narcotics operations, naval deployments in the Caribbean, and joint actions with regional partners such as Ecuador, rather than large-scale ground invasions or regime-change campaigns. The January 2026 capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro occurred via a limited special-operations raid, which traders appear to distinguish from a broader invasion. Ongoing diplomatic engagement, including OAS discussions and bilateral cooperation on security, combined with the absence of new congressional authorizations or major troop surges for occupation missions, has reinforced the strong market consensus against a full invasion occurring before year-end. No scheduled escalations or official statements currently point to such an outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
12% 概率
$269,605 交易量
$269,605 交易量
2026-12-31
是
12% 概率
$269,605 交易量
$269,605 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US military policy toward Latin America in 2026 has centered on targeted counter-narcotics operations, naval deployments in the Caribbean, and joint actions with regional partners such as Ecuador, rather than large-scale ground invasions or regime-change campaigns. The January 2026 capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro occurred via a limited special-operations raid, which traders appear to distinguish from a broader invasion. Ongoing diplomatic engagement, including OAS discussions and bilateral cooperation on security, combined with the absence of new congressional authorizations or major troop surges for occupation missions, has reinforced the strong market consensus against a full invasion occurring before year-end. No scheduled escalations or official statements currently point to such an outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
交易量
$269,605结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US military policy toward Latin America in 2026 has centered on targeted counter-narcotics operations, naval deployments in the Caribbean, and joint actions with regional partners such as Ecuador, rather than large-scale ground invasions or regime-change campaigns. The January 2026 capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro occurred via a limited special-operations raid, which traders appear to distinguish from a broader invasion. Ongoing diplomatic engagement, including OAS discussions and bilateral cooperation on security, combined with the absence of new congressional authorizations or major troop surges for occupation missions, has reinforced the strong market consensus against a full invasion occurring before year-end. No scheduled escalations or official statements currently point to such an outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
交易量
$269,605结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military policy toward Latin America in 2026 has centered on targeted counter-narcotics operations, naval deployments in the Caribbean, and joint actions with regional partners such as Ecuador, rather than large-scale ground invasions or regime-change campaigns. The January 2026 capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro occurred via a limited special-operations raid, which traders appear to distinguish from a broader invasion. Ongoing diplomatic engagement, including OAS discussions and bilateral cooperation on security, combined with the absence of new congressional authorizations or major troop surges for occupation missions, has reinforced the strong market consensus against a full invasion occurring before year-end. No scheduled escalations or official statements currently point to such an outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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