The Trump administration’s May 28, 2026 State Department action under Secretary Marco Rubio provides the dominant driver of current trader consensus. Officials designated Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists immediately, with the Foreign Terrorist Organization label scheduled to take effect June 5. The move aligns with broader counternarcotics efforts targeting transnational criminal networks and follows direct advocacy from Brazilian opposition figures, including meetings between President Trump and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Brazilian authorities opposed the step as interference, yet the formal designations occurred well ahead of the December 31 resolution window. With the process already completed and no reversal mechanisms indicated, market pricing reflects near-certainty that the threshold will be met.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s May 28, 2026 State Department action under Secretary Marco Rubio provides the dominant driver of current trader consensus. Officials designated Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists immediately, with the Foreign Terrorist Organization label scheduled to take effect June 5. The move aligns with broader counternarcotics efforts targeting transnational criminal networks and follows direct advocacy from Brazilian opposition figures, including meetings between President Trump and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Brazilian authorities opposed the step as interference, yet the formal designations occurred well ahead of the December 31 resolution window. With the process already completed and no reversal mechanisms indicated, market pricing reflects near-certainty that the threshold will be met.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
交易量
$3,092结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s May 28, 2026 State Department action under Secretary Marco Rubio provides the dominant driver of current trader consensus. Officials designated Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists immediately, with the Foreign Terrorist Organization label scheduled to take effect June 5. The move aligns with broader counternarcotics efforts targeting transnational criminal networks and follows direct advocacy from Brazilian opposition figures, including meetings between President Trump and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Brazilian authorities opposed the step as interference, yet the formal designations occurred well ahead of the December 31 resolution window. With the process already completed and no reversal mechanisms indicated, market pricing reflects near-certainty that the threshold will be met.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$3,092结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s May 28, 2026 State Department action under Secretary Marco Rubio provides the dominant driver of current trader consensus. Officials designated Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists immediately, with the Foreign Terrorist Organization label scheduled to take effect June 5. The move aligns with broader counternarcotics efforts targeting transnational criminal networks and follows direct advocacy from Brazilian opposition figures, including meetings between President Trump and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Brazilian authorities opposed the step as interference, yet the formal designations occurred well ahead of the December 31 resolution window. With the process already completed and no reversal mechanisms indicated, market pricing reflects near-certainty that the threshold will be met.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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