Recent July CPI data showing a 0.1% monthly rise and 3.4% annual rate—down from 3.5% in June—has anchored trader expectations for August, with Cleveland Fed nowcasts projecting 3.36% headline and 2.38% core. Easing energy pressures, including gasoline prices that rose 24.6% year-over-year but declined monthly, alongside stable shelter costs near 3.2%, support the clustering around 3.3–3.4% outcomes. Persistent tariff pass-through and firmer non-housing services inflation introduce upside risks, while cooling labor market signals and prior base effects limit further acceleration. The September BLS release will hinge on August’s monthly prints, keeping the 3.3% versus 3.4% contest closely balanced amid aggregated trader positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড3.4% 43%
3.3% 34%
3.5% 14%
3.2% 9.8%
≤2.9%
2%
3.0%
4%
3.1%
4%
3.2%
10%
3.3%
34%
3.4%
43%
3.5%
14%
3.6%
4%
3.7%
3%
3.8%
3%
3.9%
1%
≥4.0%
1%
3.4% 43%
3.3% 34%
3.5% 14%
3.2% 9.8%
≤2.9%
2%
3.0%
4%
3.1%
4%
3.2%
10%
3.3%
34%
3.4%
43%
3.5%
14%
3.6%
4%
3.7%
3%
3.8%
3%
3.9%
1%
≥4.0%
1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data showing a 0.1% monthly rise and 3.4% annual rate—down from 3.5% in June—has anchored trader expectations for August, with Cleveland Fed nowcasts projecting 3.36% headline and 2.38% core. Easing energy pressures, including gasoline prices that rose 24.6% year-over-year but declined monthly, alongside stable shelter costs near 3.2%, support the clustering around 3.3–3.4% outcomes. Persistent tariff pass-through and firmer non-housing services inflation introduce upside risks, while cooling labor market signals and prior base effects limit further acceleration. The September BLS release will hinge on August’s monthly prints, keeping the 3.3% versus 3.4% contest closely balanced amid aggregated trader positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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