Recent July 2026 CPI data, showing a modest 0.1% month-over-month headline increase and 0.2% core rise alongside a 3.4% year-over-year rate, has anchored expectations for August readings near 0.3%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts updated August 14 project 0.35% headline and 0.20% core for the month, reflecting easing energy pressures post-Iran conflict alongside persistent shelter and food components. Trader positioning on Polymarket, with 0.4% at 40% implied probability versus 0.3% at 33%, highlights uncertainty around tariff pass-through, potential gasoline rebounds, and seasonal adjustments as key swing factors ahead of the September release. Market-implied odds aggregate capital-weighted sentiment on these variables without guaranteeing outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড0.4% 40%
0.3% 33%
≥0.5% 12%
0.2% 9%
≤-0.3%
1%
-0.2%
5%
-0.1%
1%
0.0%
1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
33%
0.4%
40%
≥0.5%
12%
0.4% 40%
0.3% 33%
≥0.5% 12%
0.2% 9%
≤-0.3%
1%
-0.2%
5%
-0.1%
1%
0.0%
1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
33%
0.4%
40%
≥0.5%
12%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 CPI data, showing a modest 0.1% month-over-month headline increase and 0.2% core rise alongside a 3.4% year-over-year rate, has anchored expectations for August readings near 0.3%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts updated August 14 project 0.35% headline and 0.20% core for the month, reflecting easing energy pressures post-Iran conflict alongside persistent shelter and food components. Trader positioning on Polymarket, with 0.4% at 40% implied probability versus 0.3% at 33%, highlights uncertainty around tariff pass-through, potential gasoline rebounds, and seasonal adjustments as key swing factors ahead of the September release. Market-implied odds aggregate capital-weighted sentiment on these variables without guaranteeing outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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