Recent forecast guidance from European and global models indicates Moscow will experience a warm air mass advection ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure ridge on May 18, supporting afternoon highs near 27–29 °C at VDNKh station. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes favored because boundary-layer mixing and insolation under mostly clear skies are projected to peak just below 30 °C. Minor downward revisions in some runs stem from possible late-day cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly component in the steering flow, while a modest chance of 30 °C or higher persists if daytime heating exceeds model assumptions. These tight probabilities reflect the inherent uncertainty in maximum-temperature resolution when observed values fall within a 2–3 °C envelope of the climatological upper tail for mid-May.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
29°C 32%
28°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 15%
$11,050 Vol.
$11,050 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
15%
28°C
30%
29°C
32%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
3%
29°C 32%
28°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 15%
$11,050 Vol.
$11,050 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
15%
28°C
30%
29°C
32%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast guidance from European and global models indicates Moscow will experience a warm air mass advection ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure ridge on May 18, supporting afternoon highs near 27–29 °C at VDNKh station. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes favored because boundary-layer mixing and insolation under mostly clear skies are projected to peak just below 30 °C. Minor downward revisions in some runs stem from possible late-day cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly component in the steering flow, while a modest chance of 30 °C or higher persists if daytime heating exceeds model assumptions. These tight probabilities reflect the inherent uncertainty in maximum-temperature resolution when observed values fall within a 2–3 °C envelope of the climatological upper tail for mid-May.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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