Recent National Weather Service forecast models project a daily high of 63–65°F in Seattle on May 18, driven by southerly flow and mostly sunny conditions that support the market’s 99.6% implied probability for 58°F or higher. This aligns with climatological expectations for mid-May, when average highs near 65°F and recent warm advection has limited marine-layer cooling. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud timing, yet all guidance keeps readings well above the threshold. The primary risk to this consensus would be an unexpected strengthening of onshore flow that drops the high into the mid-50s, though such a shift remains unlikely within current ensemble spreads.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Seattle on May 18?
58°F or higher 99.6%
46-47°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$10,385 Vol.
$10,385 Vol.
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F or higher
100%
58°F or higher 99.6%
46-47°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$10,385 Vol.
$10,385 Vol.
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEARecent National Weather Service forecast models project a daily high of 63–65°F in Seattle on May 18, driven by southerly flow and mostly sunny conditions that support the market’s 99.6% implied probability for 58°F or higher. This aligns with climatological expectations for mid-May, when average highs near 65°F and recent warm advection has limited marine-layer cooling. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud timing, yet all guidance keeps readings well above the threshold. The primary risk to this consensus would be an unexpected strengthening of onshore flow that drops the high into the mid-50s, though such a shift remains unlikely within current ensemble spreads.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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