Traders assign Venezuela becoming the 51st U.S. state a 97.7% chance of failing by year-end 2026 because Article IV of the Constitution requires congressional approval, territorial status, and consent from the affected population—none of which exist. Venezuelan acting President Delcy Rodríguez has repeatedly rejected any such outcome, emphasizing national sovereignty and independence following the U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. President Trump’s repeated public comments, including Truth Social posts linking baseball victories and oil resources to statehood, produced no resolutions, treaties, or bilateral negotiations. Without scheduled votes, diplomatic agreements, or shifts in Venezuelan governance that could alter this baseline, the market reflects near-certainty that formal annexation will not occur before the resolution deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Venezuela become 51st state?
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
2% সম্ভাবনা
$393,464 Vol.
$393,464 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
2% সম্ভাবনা
$393,464 Vol.
$393,464 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign Venezuela becoming the 51st U.S. state a 97.7% chance of failing by year-end 2026 because Article IV of the Constitution requires congressional approval, territorial status, and consent from the affected population—none of which exist. Venezuelan acting President Delcy Rodríguez has repeatedly rejected any such outcome, emphasizing national sovereignty and independence following the U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. President Trump’s repeated public comments, including Truth Social posts linking baseball victories and oil resources to statehood, produced no resolutions, treaties, or bilateral negotiations. Without scheduled votes, diplomatic agreements, or shifts in Venezuelan governance that could alter this baseline, the market reflects near-certainty that formal annexation will not occur before the resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$393,464শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign Venezuela becoming the 51st U.S. state a 97.7% chance of failing by year-end 2026 because Article IV of the Constitution requires congressional approval, territorial status, and consent from the affected population—none of which exist. Venezuelan acting President Delcy Rodríguez has repeatedly rejected any such outcome, emphasizing national sovereignty and independence following the U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. President Trump’s repeated public comments, including Truth Social posts linking baseball victories and oil resources to statehood, produced no resolutions, treaties, or bilateral negotiations. Without scheduled votes, diplomatic agreements, or shifts in Venezuelan governance that could alter this baseline, the market reflects near-certainty that formal annexation will not occur before the resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ভলিউম
$393,464শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Traders assign Venezuela becoming the 51st U.S. state a 97.7% chance of failing by year-end 2026 because Article IV of the Constitution requires congressional approval, territorial status, and consent from the affected population—none of which exist. Venezuelan acting President Delcy Rodríguez has repeatedly rejected any such outcome, emphasizing national sovereignty and independence following the U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. President Trump’s repeated public comments, including Truth Social posts linking baseball victories and oil resources to statehood, produced no resolutions, treaties, or bilateral negotiations. Without scheduled votes, diplomatic agreements, or shifts in Venezuelan governance that could alter this baseline, the market reflects near-certainty that formal annexation will not occur before the resolution deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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