David Jolly commands trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 18, driven by his early polling leads over Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings, including 21%-10% in the April Emerson College survey amid 53% undecideds, and superior fundraising with over $5 million raised versus Demings' lag. Recent Democratic special election upsets in early April yielded endorsements from victors like Sens. Brian Nathan and Emily Gregory, fueling a $900,000 weekly haul for Jolly and boosting party momentum. His former Republican congressman background positions him to consolidate moderate and independent support in the open primary field, where lower-tier candidates like Fentrice Driskell and Gwen Graham trail far behind, though late endorsements or shifts could narrow the gap.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDavid Jolly 84%
Jerry Demings 14.3%
Fentrice Driskell 3.4%
Jason Pizzo 2.0%
$15,795 Vol.
$15,795 Vol.
David Jolly
84%
Jerry Demings
14%
Fentrice Driskell
3%
Jason Pizzo
2%
Gwen Graham
1%
Shevrin Jones
1%
Daniella Levine Cava
<1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
David Jolly 84%
Jerry Demings 14.3%
Fentrice Driskell 3.4%
Jason Pizzo 2.0%
$15,795 Vol.
$15,795 Vol.
David Jolly
84%
Jerry Demings
14%
Fentrice Driskell
3%
Jason Pizzo
2%
Gwen Graham
1%
Shevrin Jones
1%
Daniella Levine Cava
<1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...David Jolly commands trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 18, driven by his early polling leads over Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings, including 21%-10% in the April Emerson College survey amid 53% undecideds, and superior fundraising with over $5 million raised versus Demings' lag. Recent Democratic special election upsets in early April yielded endorsements from victors like Sens. Brian Nathan and Emily Gregory, fueling a $900,000 weekly haul for Jolly and boosting party momentum. His former Republican congressman background positions him to consolidate moderate and independent support in the open primary field, where lower-tier candidates like Fentrice Driskell and Gwen Graham trail far behind, though late endorsements or shifts could narrow the gap.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen