Recent upward revisions in official forecasts and a sharp rebound in headline HICP have positioned the 3.1%+ outcome as the clear leader in Eurozone 2026 inflation markets. April 2026 inflation rose to 3.0% year-over-year, driven primarily by a 10.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, lifting the rate from 2.6% in March. The ECB and its Survey of Professional Forecasters now project 2026 averages of 2.6–2.7%, reflecting limited second-round effects but persistent cost pressures. Core inflation eased to 2.2%, yet traders appear to assign material weight to geopolitical risks and sticky services prices. With the next full Eurostat release due May 20 and FOMC-adjacent global risk sentiment still fluid, implied probabilities embed both the recent data surprise and the possibility that energy normalization could pull the full-year print closer to 2.5%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJährliche Inflation der Eurozone 2026
Jährliche Inflation der Eurozone 2026
3,1 %+ 60.9%
2,8-3,0 % 21.3%
1,9–2,1 % 17.1%
<1,0 % 12.8%
$12,885 Vol.
$12,885 Vol.
19. Jan. 2027
<1,0 %
18%
1,0–1,2 %
4%
1,3–1,5 %
1%
1,6–1,8 %
17%
1,9–2,1 %
17%
2,2–2,4 %
11%
2,5–2,7 %
11%
2,8-3,0 %
21%
3,1 %+
59%
3,1 %+ 60.9%
2,8-3,0 % 21.3%
1,9–2,1 % 17.1%
<1,0 % 12.8%
$12,885 Vol.
$12,885 Vol.
19. Jan. 2027
<1,0 %
$1,069 Vol.
18%
1,0–1,2 %
$769 Vol.
4%
1,3–1,5 %
$2,022 Vol.
1%
1,6–1,8 %
$1,185 Vol.
17%
1,9–2,1 %
$2,881 Vol.
17%
2,2–2,4 %
$1,021 Vol.
11%
2,5–2,7 %
$1,139 Vol.
11%
2,8-3,0 %
$635 Vol.
21%
3,1 %+
$2,163 Vol.
59%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent upward revisions in official forecasts and a sharp rebound in headline HICP have positioned the 3.1%+ outcome as the clear leader in Eurozone 2026 inflation markets. April 2026 inflation rose to 3.0% year-over-year, driven primarily by a 10.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, lifting the rate from 2.6% in March. The ECB and its Survey of Professional Forecasters now project 2026 averages of 2.6–2.7%, reflecting limited second-round effects but persistent cost pressures. Core inflation eased to 2.2%, yet traders appear to assign material weight to geopolitical risks and sticky services prices. With the next full Eurostat release due May 20 and FOMC-adjacent global risk sentiment still fluid, implied probabilities embed both the recent data surprise and the possibility that energy normalization could pull the full-year print closer to 2.5%.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Markt eröffnet: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volumen
$12,885Enddatum
19. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent upward revisions in official forecasts and a sharp rebound in headline HICP have positioned the 3.1%+ outcome as the clear leader in Eurozone 2026 inflation markets. April 2026 inflation rose to 3.0% year-over-year, driven primarily by a 10.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, lifting the rate from 2.6% in March. The ECB and its Survey of Professional Forecasters now project 2026 averages of 2.6–2.7%, reflecting limited second-round effects but persistent cost pressures. Core inflation eased to 2.2%, yet traders appear to assign material weight to geopolitical risks and sticky services prices. With the next full Eurostat release due May 20 and FOMC-adjacent global risk sentiment still fluid, implied probabilities embed both the recent data surprise and the possibility that energy normalization could pull the full-year print closer to 2.5%.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Volumen
$12,885Enddatum
19. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upward revisions in official forecasts and a sharp rebound in headline HICP have positioned the 3.1%+ outcome as the clear leader in Eurozone 2026 inflation markets. April 2026 inflation rose to 3.0% year-over-year, driven primarily by a 10.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, lifting the rate from 2.6% in March. The ECB and its Survey of Professional Forecasters now project 2026 averages of 2.6–2.7%, reflecting limited second-round effects but persistent cost pressures. Core inflation eased to 2.2%, yet traders appear to assign material weight to geopolitical risks and sticky services prices. With the next full Eurostat release due May 20 and FOMC-adjacent global risk sentiment still fluid, implied probabilities embed both the recent data surprise and the possibility that energy normalization could pull the full-year print closer to 2.5%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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