Jay Collins leads market expectations for second place in the August 18 Florida Republican primary for governor, reflecting consistent polling placement behind frontrunner Byron Donalds. Recent surveys from July 2026 show Donalds at 38-48% support with a Trump endorsement consolidating backing, while Collins, the sitting lieutenant governor, trails in the mid-teens to low twenties as the clearest alternative. James Fishback follows at lower single digits or teens, with Paul Renner and remaining candidates further back in a field of over a dozen entrants. Trader consensus incorporates these vote-share patterns and the short timeline to primary day, where late shifts in turnout or undecided voters could still adjust final ordering among the top non-winners.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJay Collins 72%
James Fishback 25%
Byron Donalds <1%
Paul Renner <1%
$50,585 Vol.
$50,585 Vol.
Jay Collins
72%
James Fishback
25%
Byron Donalds
1%
Paul Renner
1%
Jim Holcomb
<1%
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
<1%
Daniel Nokovich
<1%
Rachel Rodriguez
<1%
James Walker Shaw
<1%
Caneste Succe
<1%
Bobby Williams
<1%
Jay Collins 72%
James Fishback 25%
Byron Donalds <1%
Paul Renner <1%
$50,585 Vol.
$50,585 Vol.
Jay Collins
72%
James Fishback
25%
Byron Donalds
1%
Paul Renner
1%
Jim Holcomb
<1%
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
<1%
Daniel Nokovich
<1%
Rachel Rodriguez
<1%
James Walker Shaw
<1%
Caneste Succe
<1%
Bobby Williams
<1%
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 10, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jay Collins leads market expectations for second place in the August 18 Florida Republican primary for governor, reflecting consistent polling placement behind frontrunner Byron Donalds. Recent surveys from July 2026 show Donalds at 38-48% support with a Trump endorsement consolidating backing, while Collins, the sitting lieutenant governor, trails in the mid-teens to low twenties as the clearest alternative. James Fishback follows at lower single digits or teens, with Paul Renner and remaining candidates further back in a field of over a dozen entrants. Trader consensus incorporates these vote-share patterns and the short timeline to primary day, where late shifts in turnout or undecided voters could still adjust final ordering among the top non-winners.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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