**Jay Collins leads the market for second place in Florida’s August 18 Republican gubernatorial primary at 74.5%, ahead of James Fishback at 22.5%, with other listed candidates at negligible odds.** Recent polling averages place U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds first (roughly 45-50%) and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins second (13-18%), consistent with Collins’s profile as the DeSantis-appointed incumbent lieutenant governor and his recent endorsements plus strong performances in local GOP straw polls. Fishback, a younger investor candidate, has trailed in surveys and faced a residency challenge from Collins that a Leon County judge rejected in late July, allowing him to remain on the ballot. With voting beginning soon and no major late shifts reported, trader consensus reflects Collins’s established position as the clearest alternative to Donalds in the final days before the primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJay Collins 76%
James Fishback 23%
Paul Renner <1%
Byron Donalds <1%
$86,605 Vol.
$86,605 Vol.
Jay Collins
76%
James Fishback
23%
Paul Renner
1%
Byron Donalds
1%
Jim Holcomb
<1%
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
<1%
Daniel Nokovich
<1%
Rachel Rodriguez
<1%
James Walker Shaw
<1%
Caneste Succe
<1%
Bobby Williams
<1%
Jay Collins 76%
James Fishback 23%
Paul Renner <1%
Byron Donalds <1%
$86,605 Vol.
$86,605 Vol.
Jay Collins
76%
James Fishback
23%
Paul Renner
1%
Byron Donalds
1%
Jim Holcomb
<1%
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
<1%
Daniel Nokovich
<1%
Rachel Rodriguez
<1%
James Walker Shaw
<1%
Caneste Succe
<1%
Bobby Williams
<1%
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 10, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Jay Collins leads the market for second place in Florida’s August 18 Republican gubernatorial primary at 74.5%, ahead of James Fishback at 22.5%, with other listed candidates at negligible odds.** Recent polling averages place U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds first (roughly 45-50%) and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins second (13-18%), consistent with Collins’s profile as the DeSantis-appointed incumbent lieutenant governor and his recent endorsements plus strong performances in local GOP straw polls. Fishback, a younger investor candidate, has trailed in surveys and faced a residency challenge from Collins that a Leon County judge rejected in late July, allowing him to remain on the ballot. With voting beginning soon and no major late shifts reported, trader consensus reflects Collins’s established position as the clearest alternative to Donalds in the final days before the primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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